The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 7/11/2025 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB gave back -0.71 points, or -0.35%, and closed at 201.86 on Friday, July 11, 2025. Weekly volume was 9% above average.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (237.87) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. AVB may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 24, 2023 at 153.07 and reached 239.30 on November 27, 2024. AVB gained -86.23 points, or -56.33%, in 87 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 181.17 and resistance is at 257.42. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 209.86 and reached 199.27 on July 2, 2025. AVB lost 10.59 points, or 5.05%, in 9 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since June 24, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 93.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.93
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 25.07
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.76
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 60.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.81
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.84
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.07
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Support 237.87
Upper Bollinger Band 208.36
50 Day Moving Average 205.16
Parabolic System 204.44
20 Day Moving Average 204.30
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 203.17
Price 201.86
Daily Stochastic Crossing 201.63
Lower Bollinger Band 198.71
Quarterly Trendline Support 181.17
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 4
Industry REIT - Residential 32
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 209.86
High Date 06/23/2025
Low 199.27
Low Date 07/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 213.34
High Date 05/02/2025
Low 196.82
Low Date 05/23/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 180.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 257.42
Support 181.17
Low 153.07
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 297.59
Support 237.87
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.