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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/18/2026 -
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PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund (BOND) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund (BOND). During the week, the BOND gave back -0.12 points, or -0.14%, and closed at 88.72 on Friday, September 18, 2026. Weekly volume was 57% above average.

Long-term trend: [See BOND long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 23, 2023 at 85.10 and reached 95.32 on September 16, 2024. BOND gained -10.22 points, or -12.01%, in 47 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (92.72) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. BOND may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BOND medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 27, 2026 at 94.68 and reached 88.53 on September 16, 2026. BOND lost 6.15 points, or 6.50%, in 28 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (89.78) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BOND weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 27, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BOND short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 25, 2026 at 91.15 and reached 88.53 on September 16, 2026. BOND lost 2.62 points, or 2.87%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 7.25% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BOND daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 31, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (89.09) comes close to the price (88.72). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 126.24% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 23.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 88.00
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.57
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.48
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.44
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 21.21
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 12.55
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.00
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.56
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 94.43
Yearly Trendline Support 92.72
Upper Bollinger Band 91.27
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 90.82
50 Day Moving Average 90.41
20 Day Moving Average 89.81
Quarterly Trendline Support 89.78
Parabolic System 89.09
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 88.84
Daily Stochastic Crossing 88.73
Price 88.72
Lower Bollinger Band 87.94
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 90.23
High Date 09/03/2026
Low 88.53
Low Date 09/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 91.15
High Date 08/25/2026
Low 88.53
Low Date 09/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 92.65
High Date 06/29/2026
Low 88.53
Low Date 09/16/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 90.82
Support 89.78
High 94.68
High Date 02/27/2026
Low 88.53
Low Date 09/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 94.43
Support 92.72
Low 85.10
Low Date 10/23/2023
High 95.32
High Date 09/16/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.