The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 1/16/2026 -
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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). During the week, the CAT gained 29.27 points, or 4.74%, and closed at 646.89 on Friday, January 16, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was -24% below average.

CAT is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CAT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 20, 2016 at 56.36 and reached 655.68 on January 16, 2026. CAT gained -599.32 points, or -1063.38%, in 521 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (239.67) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CAT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 27, 2022 at 160.60 and reached 655.68 on January 16, 2026. CAT gained -495.08 points, or -308.27%, in 172 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (304.05) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CAT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CAT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 17, 2025 at 557.46 and reached 655.68 on January 16, 2026. CAT gained -98.22 points, or -17.62%, in 30 days. The price is now at the 8.95% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CAT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.04
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.75
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 12.47
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.62
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 73.05
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.57
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 49.54 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 668.11
Upper Bollinger Band 663.61
Daily Stochastic Crossing 649.11
Price 646.89
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 623.87
Parabolic System 615.29
20 Day Moving Average 603.08
Monthly Trendline Support 600.76
50 Day Moving Average 586.44
Lower Bollinger Band 558.72
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 527.70
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks 113
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 594.17
Low Date 01/08/2026
High 655.68
High Date 01/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 557.46
Low Date 12/17/2025
High 655.68
High Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 668.11
Support 600.76
Low 267.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 655.68
High Date 01/16/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 527.70
Support 304.05
Low 160.60
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 655.68
High Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 346.57
Support 239.67
Low 56.36
Low Date 01/20/2016
High 655.68
High Date 01/16/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.