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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/18/2025 -
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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence
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It was a eighth consecutive positive week for the Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). During the week, the CAT gained 7.79 points, or 1.92%, and closed at 413.71 on Friday, July 18, 2025. CAT was trading at average weekly trading volume.

CAT is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CAT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on September 27, 2022 at 160.60 and reached 419.90 on July 17, 2025. CAT gained -259.30 points, or -161.46%, in 146 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 283.97 and resistance is at 483.96. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CAT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 267.30 and reached 419.90 on July 17, 2025. CAT gained -152.60 points, or -57.09%, in 14 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CAT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CAT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 23, 2025 at 336.24 and reached 419.90 on July 17, 2025. CAT gained -83.66 points, or -24.88%, in 55 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 408.31 and resistance is at 428.35. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CAT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.60
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.69
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.45
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 13.85 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 92.75
Strong Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 95.57
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 90.28
Strong Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.58
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 483.96
Weekly Trendline Resistance 428.35
Upper Bollinger Band 425.96
Daily Stochastic Crossing 416.50
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 416.48
Price 413.71
Parabolic System 409.03
Weekly Trendline Support 408.31
20 Day Moving Average 393.53
50 Day Moving Average 366.93
Lower Bollinger Band 361.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks 90
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 401.70
Low Date 07/11/2025
High 419.90
High Date 07/17/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 428.35
Support 408.31
Low 336.24
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 419.90
High Date 07/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 267.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 419.90
High Date 07/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 483.96
Support 283.97
Low 160.60
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 419.90
High Date 07/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 56.36
Low Date 01/20/2016
High 419.90
High Date 07/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.