The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 7/11/2025 -
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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 388.95
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
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It was a seventh consecutive positive week for the Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). During the week, the CAT gained 8.06 points, or 2.03%, and closed at 405.92 on Friday, July 11, 2025. On Friday CAT has reached 406.88 - the highest level since January 24, 2025. Weekly volume was 11% above average.

CAT is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CAT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on September 27, 2022 at 160.60 and reached 418.50 on November 7, 2024. CAT gained -257.90 points, or -160.59%, in 110 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 283.18 and resistance is at 482.22. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CAT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on November 7, 2024 at 418.50 and reached 267.30 on April 7, 2025. CAT lost 151.20 points, or 36.13%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (388.95). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CAT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CAT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 23, 2025 at 336.24 and reached 412.00 on July 10, 2025. CAT gained -75.76 points, or -22.53%, in 48 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CAT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 83.91
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.60
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.81
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.36
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 12.68 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 92.63
Strong Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 95.87
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.81
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.00
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 482.22
Upper Bollinger Band 417.64
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 408.76
Daily Stochastic Crossing 407.54
Price 405.92
Parabolic System 400.01
Monthly Trendline Resistance 388.95
20 Day Moving Average 380.68
50 Day Moving Average 357.64
Lower Bollinger Band 348.60
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 9
Industry Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks 94
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 336.24
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 412.00
High Date 07/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 267.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 412.00
High Date 07/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 388.95
Support 176.41
High 418.50
High Date 11/07/2024
Low 267.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 482.22
Support 283.18
Low 160.60
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 418.50
High Date 11/07/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 56.36
Low Date 01/20/2016
High 418.50
High Date 11/07/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.