The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

Archive
- 1/16/2026 -
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CF Industries (CF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend resistance line20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the CF Industries (CF). During the week, the CF gained 4.15 points, or 5.02%, and closed at 86.75 on Friday, January 16, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since September 26, 2025. Weekly volume was 13% above average.

CF is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on June 1, 2023 at 60.08 and reached 104.45 on June 16, 2025. CF gained -44.37 points, or -73.85%, in 106 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 70.39 and resistance is at 113.36. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 16, 2025 at 104.45 and reached 75.42 on December 10, 2025. CF lost 29.03 points, or 27.79%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (74.20) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 8, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 10, 2025 at 75.42 and reached 88.16 on January 14, 2026. CF gained -12.74 points, or -16.89%, in 35 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (76.99) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 10, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.37
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 27.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.36
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.46
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.59
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.13
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 46.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 36.67
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.47
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.71
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 87.39
Price 86.75
Daily Stochastic Crossing 85.93
Weekly Trendline Resistance 81.50
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 80.50
Monthly Trendline Resistance 80.41
Parabolic System 80.23
20 Day Moving Average 80.14
50 Day Moving Average 80.01
Weekly Trendline Support 76.99
Lower Bollinger Band 75.15
Monthly Trendline Support 74.20
Quarterly Trendline Support 70.39
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 10
Industry Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 31
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 75.87
Low Date 01/07/2026
High 88.16
High Date 01/14/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 81.50
Support 76.99
Low 75.42
Low Date 12/10/2025
High 88.16
High Date 01/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 80.41
Support 74.20
High 104.45
High Date 06/16/2025
Low 75.42
Low Date 12/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 113.36
Support 70.39
Low 60.08
Low Date 06/01/2023
High 104.45
High Date 06/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 19.73
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 119.60
High Date 08/26/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.