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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/3/2025 -
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Cincinnati Financial (CINF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Cincinnati Financial (CINF). During the week, the CINF dropped -2.00 points, or -1.39%, and closed at 142.10 on Friday, January 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -38% below average.

CINF is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CINF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 17.06 and reached 161.75 on November 27, 2024. CINF gained -144.69 points, or -848.12%, in 841 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 57.66 and resistance is at 168.93. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CINF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 28, 2023 at 95.01 and reached 161.75 on November 27, 2024. CINF gained -66.74 points, or -70.25%, in 74 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (121.93) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CINF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since December 20, 2024. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CINF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 27, 2024 at 161.75 and reached 141.00 on January 3, 2025. CINF lost 20.75 points, or 12.83%, in 37 days. The price is now at the 5.30% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CINF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 3, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.07
Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 24.98
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.95
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.61 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 54.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.17
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 50.94
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.58
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 168.93
Upper Bollinger Band 156.81
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 150.25
50 Day Moving Average 148.77
20 Day Moving Average 147.77
Parabolic System 144.15
Daily Stochastic Crossing 142.21
Price 142.10
Monthly Trendline Resistance 138.85
Lower Bollinger Band 136.57
Monthly Trendline Support 121.93
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 10
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 67
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 161.75
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 141.00
Low Date 01/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 109.93
Low Date 04/26/2024
High 161.75
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 138.85
Support 121.93
Low 95.01
Low Date 06/28/2023
High 161.75
High Date 11/27/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 88.66
Low Date 09/26/2022
High 161.75
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 168.93
Support 57.66
Low 17.06
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 161.75
High Date 11/27/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.