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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 10/3/2025 -
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Colgate-Palmolive (CL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Colgate-Palmolive (CL). During the week, the CL dropped -1.59 points, or -2.00%, and closed at 78.00 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was 24% above average.

CL is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 26, 2018 at 57.51 and reached 109.30 on September 5, 2024. CL gained -51.79 points, or -90.05%, in 297 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 71.81 and resistance is at 115.80. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2025 at 100.18 and reached 77.91 on October 3, 2025. CL lost 22.27 points, or 22.23%, in 29 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (79.30) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 11, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 20, 2025 at 87.95 and reached 77.91 on October 3, 2025. CL lost 10.04 points, or 11.42%, in 44 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 12, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.83
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.66
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.12
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.33 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.88
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.63
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.27
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.02
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 84.72
Monthly Trendline Resistance 84.59
50 Day Moving Average 83.38
Parabolic System 81.24
20 Day Moving Average 81.16
Monthly Trendline Support 79.30
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 78.86
Daily Stochastic Crossing 78.35
Price 78.00
Lower Bollinger Band 77.13
Yearly Trendline Support 71.81
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 1
Industry Personal Products 21
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 85.76
High Date 09/05/2025
Low 77.91
Low Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 87.95
High Date 08/20/2025
Low 77.91
Low Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 84.59
Support 79.30
High 100.18
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 77.91
Low Date 10/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 109.30
High Date 09/05/2024
Low 77.91
Low Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 115.80
Support 71.81
Low 57.51
Low Date 12/26/2018
High 109.30
High Date 09/05/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.