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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/18/2026 -
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CMS Energy (CMS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorOversold industryWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the CMS Energy (CMS). During the week, the CMS dropped -1.81 points, or -2.70%, and closed at 65.34 on Friday, September 18, 2026. Weekly volume was 16% above average.

CMS is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most oversold sector. CMS is a member of Multi-Utilities Industry. Multi-Utilities is the fifth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CMS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 8.33 and reached 80.36 on April 9, 2026. CMS gained -72.03 points, or -864.71%, in 912 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 61.21 and resistance is at 83.06. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CMS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 3, 2023 at 49.87 and reached 80.36 on April 9, 2026. CMS gained -30.49 points, or -61.14%, in 131 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (82.61) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. CMS may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CMS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 1, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CMS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 18, 2026 at 72.44 and reached 65.14 on September 18, 2026. CMS lost 7.30 points, or 10.08%, in 31 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CMS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 23.18
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 85.40
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.22
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.31
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.18
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 31.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.76
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.29
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.73
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 70.57
Upper Bollinger Band 70.00
Parabolic System 67.79
20 Day Moving Average 67.72
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 65.80
Lower Bollinger Band 65.70
Daily Stochastic Crossing 65.45
Price 65.34
Yearly Trendline Support 61.21
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 1
Industry Multi-Utilities 5
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 72.44
High Date 08/18/2026
Low 65.14
Low Date 09/18/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 78.87
High Date 06/26/2026
Low 65.14
Low Date 09/18/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 80.36
High Date 04/09/2026
Low 65.14
Low Date 09/18/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 83.00
Support 82.61
Low 49.87
Low Date 10/03/2023
High 80.36
High Date 04/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 83.06
Support 61.21
Low 8.33
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 80.36
High Date 04/09/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.