The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/11/2025 -
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Capital One Financial (COF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price
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It was the negative week for the Capital One Financial (COF). During the week, the COF gave back -1.12 points, or -0.51%, and closed at 219.79 on Friday, July 11, 2025. Weekly volume was -15% below average.

COF is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See COF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on May 4, 2023 at 83.93 and reached 221.95 on July 3, 2025. COF gained -138.02 points, or -164.45%, in 113 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See COF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 143.20 and reached 221.95 on July 3, 2025. COF gained -78.75 points, or -54.99%, in 12 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (213.76) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See COF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See COF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 23, 2025 at 183.38 and reached 221.95 on July 3, 2025. COF gained -38.57 points, or -21.03%, in 41 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 204.15 and resistance is at 228.07. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See COF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (217.84) comes close to the price (219.79). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 85.53
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 78.90
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.72
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.37
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 82.49
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.70
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.74
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.23
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 229.68
Weekly Trendline Resistance 228.07
Price 219.79
Daily Stochastic Crossing 219.67
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 218.49
Parabolic System 217.84
Monthly Trendline Support 213.76
20 Day Moving Average 208.85
Monthly Trendline Resistance 205.76
Weekly Trendline Support 204.15
50 Day Moving Average 198.87
Lower Bollinger Band 191.21
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Consumer Finance 121
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 191.87
Low Date 06/13/2025
High 221.95
High Date 07/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 228.07
Support 204.15
Low 183.38
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 221.95
High Date 07/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 205.76
Support 213.76
Low 143.20
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 221.95
High Date 07/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 83.93
Low Date 05/04/2023
High 221.95
High Date 07/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 7.80
Low Date 03/09/2009
High 221.95
High Date 07/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.