The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 3/20/2026 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergence
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW climbed 0.03 points, or 0.08%, and closed at 36.65 on Friday, March 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 7% above average.

DOW is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 7, 2023 at 60.88 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 40.48 points, or 66.49%, in 130 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 11.23 and resistance is at 60.37. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 11, 2025 at 20.40 and reached 38.58 on March 19, 2026. DOW gained -18.18 points, or -89.12%, in 31 weeks. The price is now at the 10.62% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 27, 2026 at 29.20 and reached 38.58 on March 19, 2026. DOW gained -9.38 points, or -32.12%, in 20 days. The price is now at the 20.58% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since March 5, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (36.44) comes close to the price (36.65). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.25
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.94
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.03
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.64
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 82.61
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 78.82
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.01
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.71
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 39.94
Daily Stochastic Crossing 37.55
Price 36.65
Parabolic System 36.44
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 36.06
20 Day Moving Average 33.71
50 Day Moving Average 31.14
Lower Bollinger Band 28.82
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 10
Industry Commodity Chemicals 118
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 38.58
High Date 03/19/2026
Low 36.48
Low Date 03/20/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.20
Low Date 02/27/2026
High 38.58
High Date 03/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 38.58
High Date 03/19/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 60.37
Support 11.23
High 60.88
High Date 02/07/2023
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.