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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 9/5/2025 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold industry
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW gave back -0.13 points, or -0.53%, and closed at 24.50 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was 47% above average.

DOW is a member of Commodity Chemicals Industry. Commodity Chemicals is the ninth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2024 at 60.69 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 40.29 points, or 66.39%, in 70 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 19.93 and resistance is at 25.79. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 27, 2024 at 55.67 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 35.27 points, or 63.36%, in 45 weeks. The price is now at the 11.62% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 11, 2025 at 20.40 and reached 25.24 on August 22, 2025. DOW gained -4.84 points, or -23.73%, in 11 days. The price is now at the 15.29% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 13, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 62.18
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 27.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 51.05
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 61.84
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.31
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42.07
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 70.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 25.20
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.13
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.82
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 26.57
Monthly Trendline Resistance 25.79
50 Day Moving Average 25.44
Parabolic System 25.22
Price 24.50
Daily Stochastic Crossing 24.08
20 Day Moving Average 23.67
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 23.61
Lower Bollinger Band 21.85
Monthly Trendline Support 19.93
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 4
Industry Commodity Chemicals 9
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 25.24
High Date 08/22/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 55.67
High Date 09/27/2024
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 25.79
Support 19.93
High 60.69
High Date 04/04/2024
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.88
High Date 02/07/2023
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.