The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 5/15/2026 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overbought
Daily :Price has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW gained 1.88 points, or 5.10%, and closed at 38.75 on Friday, May 15, 2026. Weekly volume was -38% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 7, 2023 at 60.88 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 40.48 points, or 66.49%, in 130 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 8.89 and resistance is at 60.34. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 11, 2025 at 20.40 and reached 42.74 on March 31, 2026. DOW gained -22.34 points, or -109.51%, in 33 weeks. The price is now at the 17.86% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 8, 2026 at 36.72 and reached 40.17 on May 13, 2026. DOW gained -3.45 points, or -9.40%, in 5 days. The price is now at the 41.16% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 5, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.11
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 44.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 46.10
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 51.55
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.26
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 18.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 66.21
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.10
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.95
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 41.02
Parabolic System 40.10
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 39.98
20 Day Moving Average 38.81
Price 38.75
50 Day Moving Average 38.45
Daily Stochastic Crossing 38.34
Lower Bollinger Band 36.57
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 6
Industry Commodity Chemicals 100
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 36.72
Low Date 05/08/2026
High 40.17
High Date 05/13/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 34.80
Low Date 04/17/2026
High 41.48
High Date 05/05/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 42.74
High Date 03/31/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 60.34
Support 8.89
High 60.88
High Date 02/07/2023
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.