The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/9/2026 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 26.56
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index bearish divergenceThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW gained 2.06 points, or 8.49%, and closed at 26.33 on Friday, January 9, 2026. On Friday DOW has reached 26.49 - the highest level since July 25, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since October 24, 2025. Weekly volume was -9% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2024 at 60.69 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 40.29 points, or 66.39%, in 70 weeks. The price is now at the 14.72% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 11, 2025 at 20.40 and reached 26.49 on January 9, 2026. DOW gained -6.09 points, or -29.85%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (26.56). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 20.93 and reached 26.49 on January 9, 2026. DOW gained -5.56 points, or -26.56%, in 50 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.28
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.11
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.71
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.35
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.77
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.99
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.08
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.01
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 26.56
Price 26.33
Upper Bollinger Band 26.25
Daily Stochastic Crossing 26.05
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 24.28
20 Day Moving Average 23.94
Parabolic System 23.87
50 Day Moving Average 23.33
Lower Bollinger Band 22.14
Weekly Trendline Support 21.33
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 7
Industry Commodity Chemicals 93
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 20.93
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 26.49
High Date 01/09/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 26.56
Support 21.33
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 26.49
High Date 01/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.69
High Date 04/04/2024
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.88
High Date 02/07/2023
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.