The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 7/2/2026 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold industryBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Relative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW dropped -1.33 points, or -4.58%, and closed at 27.71 on Thursday, July 2, 2026. Weekly volume was -6% below average.

DOW is a member of Commodity Chemicals Industry. Commodity Chemicals is the most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 7, 2023 at 60.88 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 40.48 points, or 66.49%, in 130 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 6.97 and resistance is at 60.32. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 31, 2026 at 42.74 and reached 26.80 on July 1, 2026. DOW lost 15.94 points, or 37.30%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend support line (41.46) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 22, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on May 5, 2026 at 41.48 and reached 26.80 on July 1, 2026. DOW lost 14.68 points, or 35.39%, in 57 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 5, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 11.76
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.89
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 8.50
Strong Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.87
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.46
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.27
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.42
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.16
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 36.12
50 Day Moving Average 35.12
20 Day Moving Average 31.36
Parabolic System 29.46
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 27.78
Price 27.71
Daily Stochastic Crossing 27.15
Lower Bollinger Band 25.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 3
Industry Commodity Chemicals 1
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
High 41.48
High Date 05/05/2026
Low 26.80
Low Date 07/01/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 37.95
Support 41.46
High 42.74
High Date 03/31/2026
Low 26.80
Low Date 07/01/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 42.74
High Date 03/31/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 60.32
Support 6.97
High 60.88
High Date 02/07/2023
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.