The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/23/2026 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
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It was a fifth consecutive positive week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW gained 0.68 points, or 2.47%, and closed at 28.25 on Friday, January 23, 2026. DOW was trading at average weekly trading volume.

DOW is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2024 at 60.69 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 40.29 points, or 66.39%, in 70 weeks. The price is now at the 19.48% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 11, 2025 at 20.40 and reached 29.09 on January 22, 2026. DOW gained -8.69 points, or -42.60%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (21.42) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 20.93 and reached 29.09 on January 22, 2026. DOW gained -8.16 points, or -38.99%, in 63 days. The price is now at the 10.29% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.87
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 75.36
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.20
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.03 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.80
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.14
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 73.20
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.63
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 29.97
Daily Stochastic Crossing 28.39
Price 28.25
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 27.74
Weekly Trendline Resistance 26.65
Parabolic System 26.33
20 Day Moving Average 25.84
50 Day Moving Average 24.14
Lower Bollinger Band 22.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 10
Industry Commodity Chemicals 102
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 20.93
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 29.09
High Date 01/22/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 26.65
Support 21.42
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 29.09
High Date 01/22/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.69
High Date 04/04/2024
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.88
High Date 02/07/2023
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.