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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 6/27/2025 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold industryWilliams' Percentage Range is oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW dropped -0.76 points, or -2.74%, and closed at 27.00 on Friday, June 27, 2025. Weekly volume was 146% above average.

DOW is a member of Commodity Chemicals Industry. Commodity Chemicals is the ninth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2024 at 60.69 and reached 25.06 on April 9, 2025. DOW lost 35.63 points, or 58.71%, in 52 weeks. The price is now at the 5.44% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 27, 2024 at 55.67 and reached 25.06 on April 9, 2025. DOW lost 30.61 points, or 54.98%, in 27 weeks. The price is now at the 6.34% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 11, 2025 at 31.18 and reached 26.61 on June 23, 2025. DOW lost 4.57 points, or 14.66%, in 12 days. The price is now at the 8.53% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since June 18, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.55
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.60
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.52
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 23.82
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.37
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.97
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 84.40
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 35.83
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 30.94
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.27
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 31.01
50 Day Moving Average 29.05
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 28.68
20 Day Moving Average 28.51
Parabolic System 28.48
Daily Stochastic Crossing 27.08
Price 27.00
Lower Bollinger Band 25.78
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 7
Industry Commodity Chemicals 9
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 31.18
High Date 06/11/2025
Low 26.61
Low Date 06/23/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 55.67
High Date 09/27/2024
Low 25.06
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.69
High Date 04/04/2024
Low 25.06
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.88
High Date 02/07/2023
Low 25.06
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 25.06
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.