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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 2/13/2026 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overbought
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW gained 0.71 points, or 2.23%, and closed at 32.49 on Friday, February 13, 2026. DOW was trading at average weekly trading volume.

DOW is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2024 at 60.69 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 40.29 points, or 66.39%, in 70 weeks. The price is now at the 30.01% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 11, 2025 at 20.40 and reached 34.77 on February 11, 2026. DOW gained -14.37 points, or -70.44%, in 26 weeks. The chart has formed a Rectangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (21.57) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 20.93 and reached 34.77 on February 11, 2026. DOW gained -13.84 points, or -66.13%, in 83 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since February 2, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.62
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 24.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.71
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.70
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.37
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.20
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.86
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.89
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.79
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 34.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 33.84
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 33.24
Price 32.49
20 Day Moving Average 29.83
Parabolic System 29.50
Weekly Trendline Resistance 26.80
50 Day Moving Average 26.50
Lower Bollinger Band 25.41
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 11
Industry Commodity Chemicals 111
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 20.93
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 34.77
High Date 02/11/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rectangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 26.80
Support 21.57
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 34.77
High Date 02/11/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.69
High Date 04/04/2024
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.88
High Date 02/07/2023
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.