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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 8/21/2026 -
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Dow Chemical (DOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Dow Chemical (DOW). During the week, the DOW gained 1.28 points, or 4.12%, and closed at 32.35 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Weekly volume was -33% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 21, 2022 at 71.86 and reached 20.40 on August 11, 2025. DOW lost 51.46 points, or 71.61%, in 172 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (12.16) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. DOW may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 31, 2026 at 42.74 and reached 26.80 on July 1, 2026. DOW lost 15.94 points, or 37.30%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 21.15 and resistance is at 37.52. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 22, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 1, 2026 at 26.80 and reached 33.40 on August 20, 2026. DOW gained -6.60 points, or -24.63%, in 50 days. The price is now at the 15.91% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since July 7, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.00
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.05
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.63
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.18
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.40
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 62.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 42.01
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 42.20
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 37.52
Upper Bollinger Band 32.98
Daily Stochastic Crossing 32.70
Price 32.35
Parabolic System 31.14
20 Day Moving Average 30.57
50 Day Moving Average 30.26
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 29.75
Lower Bollinger Band 28.86
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 5
Industry Commodity Chemicals 19
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 28.23
Low Date 07/27/2026
High 33.40
High Date 08/20/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 26.80
Low Date 07/01/2026
High 33.40
High Date 08/20/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 37.52
Support 21.15
High 42.74
High Date 03/31/2026
Low 26.80
Low Date 07/01/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 42.74
High Date 03/31/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 12.18
Support 12.16
High 71.86
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 20.40
Low Date 08/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.