The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 4/25/2025 -
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Genuine Parts (GPC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week after 6 consecutive negative weeks for the Genuine Parts (GPC). During the week, the GPC gained 2.54 points, or 2.23%, and closed at 116.64 on Friday, April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was 50% above average.

GPC is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See GPC long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 18, 2024 at 164.45 and reached 104.00 on April 9, 2025. GPC lost 60.45 points, or 36.76%, in 50 weeks. The price is now at the 20.91% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See GPC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2025 at 132.00 and reached 104.00 on April 9, 2025. GPC lost 28.00 points, or 21.21%, in 4 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (109.04) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GPC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 7, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GPC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 104.00 and reached 118.83 on April 23, 2025. GPC gained -14.83 points, or -14.26%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 14.77% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GPC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.79
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 24.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 71.79
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 65.72
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.67
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.37
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 54.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 31.91
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 42.38
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.82
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 122.70
50 Day Moving Average 119.69
Daily Stochastic Crossing 116.78
Price 116.64
20 Day Moving Average 115.18
Monthly Trendline Resistance 114.68
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 112.92
Parabolic System 111.49
Lower Bollinger Band 109.16
Monthly Trendline Support 109.04
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 2
Industry Specialty Stores 90
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 110.65
Low Date 04/21/2025
High 118.83
High Date 04/23/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 104.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 118.83
High Date 04/23/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 114.68
Support 109.04
High 132.00
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 104.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 164.45
High Date 04/18/2024
Low 104.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 187.73
High Date 12/02/2022
Low 104.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.