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- 1/16/2026 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorOversold industryWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG dropped -0.94 points, or -4.39%, and closed at 20.49 on Friday, January 16, 2026. Weekly volume was 35% above average.

HOG is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. HOG is a member of Motorcycle Manufacturers Industry. Motorcycle Manufacturers is the most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 2, 2023 at 51.77 and reached 20.38 on January 6, 2026. HOG lost 31.39 points, or 60.63%, in 152 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 31.25 and reached 20.38 on January 6, 2026. HOG lost 10.87 points, or 34.78%, in 15 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 19.31 and resistance is at 22.73. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 6, 2026 at 20.38 and reached 21.58 on January 12, 2026. HOG gained -1.20 points, or -5.89%, in 6 days. The price is now at the 90.83% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 24, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (5.27%) is close to one year low (6.26%). It is 64.33% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 43.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 46.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 43.83
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 46.97
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.60
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.45
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.26
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.60
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.89
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 22.73
50 Day Moving Average 22.56
Upper Bollinger Band 21.77
Parabolic System 21.60
Daily Stochastic Crossing 20.97
20 Day Moving Average 20.93
Lower Bollinger Band 20.70
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 20.70
Price 20.49
Monthly Trendline Support 19.31
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 1
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 21.58
High Date 01/12/2026
Low 20.46
Low Date 01/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 20.38
Low Date 01/06/2026
High 21.58
High Date 01/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 22.73
Support 19.31
High 31.25
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 20.38
Low Date 01/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 20.38
Low Date 01/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 52.06
High Date 05/18/2021
Low 20.38
Low Date 01/06/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.