The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/2/2026 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Weekly  MACD line has moved below its signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG dropped -0.90 points, or -3.54%, and closed at 24.55 on Friday, October 2, 2026. Weekly volume was -31% below average.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 19, 2026 at 17.09 and reached 28.86 on September 4, 2026. HOG gained -11.77 points, or -68.87%, in 24 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 4, 2026 at 28.86 and reached 24.00 on October 1, 2026. HOG lost 4.86 points, or 16.84%, in 3 weeks. The price is now at the 11.32% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 14, 2026 at 28.22 and reached 24.00 on October 1, 2026. HOG lost 4.22 points, or 14.95%, in 17 days. The price is now at the 13.03% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 31, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 17.66
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 79.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 16.03
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.02
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.44
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.24
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 59.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 49.99
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 46.52
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.02
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 28.18
50 Day Moving Average 26.50
20 Day Moving Average 26.19
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 26.10
Parabolic System 25.18
Price 24.55
Daily Stochastic Crossing 24.41
Lower Bollinger Band 23.58
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 5
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 80
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 28.22
High Date 09/14/2026
Low 24.00
Low Date 10/01/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 28.86
High Date 09/04/2026
Low 24.00
Low Date 10/01/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
High 28.86
High Date 09/04/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 52.06
High Date 05/18/2021
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.