The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 9/5/2025 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 31.47
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineRelative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence
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It was a fifth consecutive positive week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG gained 1.08 points, or 3.71%, and closed at 30.20 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was -14% below average.

HOG is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 44.16 and reached 20.45 on April 8, 2025. HOG lost 23.71 points, or 53.69%, in 53 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (31.47). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 20.45 and reached 31.07 on September 5, 2025. HOG gained -10.62 points, or -51.93%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (24.12) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 29, 2025 at 22.85 and reached 31.07 on September 5, 2025. HOG gained -8.22 points, or -35.97%, in 38 days. The price is now at the 10.58% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Relative Strength Index and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 11, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.82
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.60
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.85
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.01
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.15 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.47
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 68.92
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 73.02
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.90
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 31.47
Upper Bollinger Band 31.35
Daily Stochastic Crossing 30.72
Price 30.20
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 29.49
Parabolic System 28.84
20 Day Moving Average 27.94
50 Day Moving Average 25.76
Lower Bollinger Band 24.69
Weekly Trendline Resistance 24.46
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 12
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 96
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 22.85
Low Date 07/29/2025
High 31.07
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 24.46
Support 24.12
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 31.07
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 31.47
Support 14.44
High 44.16
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 52.06
High Date 05/18/2021
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.