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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 1/3/2025 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG gave back -0.27 points, or -0.89%, and closed at 30.01 on Friday, January 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -28% below average.

HOG is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on May 18, 2021 at 52.06 and reached 25.43 on October 26, 2023. HOG lost 26.63 points, or 51.15%, in 127 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 21.62 and resistance is at 51.45. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 26, 2023 at 25.43 and reached 44.16 on March 28, 2024. HOG gained -18.73 points, or -73.65%, in 22 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (36.33) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. HOG may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 4, 2024. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 19, 2024 at 39.93 and reached 28.97 on January 3, 2025. HOG lost 10.96 points, or 27.45%, in 106 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 28.88 and resistance is at 32.37. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 12, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (30.22) comes close to the price (30.01). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.70
Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.10
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 20.11
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.25
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.76 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.49
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 20.78
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 22.94
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.73 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 33.93
Weekly Trendline Resistance 32.37
50 Day Moving Average 32.30
20 Day Moving Average 31.44
Parabolic System 30.22
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 30.09
Price 30.01
Daily Stochastic Crossing 29.38
Weekly Trendline Support 28.88
Lower Bollinger Band 28.44
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 9
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 13
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 35.21
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 28.97
Low Date 01/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 32.37
Support 28.88
High 39.93
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 28.97
Low Date 01/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 44.16
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 28.97
Low Date 01/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 37.36
Support 36.33
Low 25.43
Low Date 10/26/2023
High 44.16
High Date 03/28/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 51.45
Support 21.62
High 52.06
High Date 05/18/2021
Low 25.43
Low Date 10/26/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.