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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 5/2/2025 -
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Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorTrend resistance at 28.61Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level
Daily :A Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceLane's Stochastic is oversold
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It was the negative week for the Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL). During the week, the HRL dropped -0.39 points, or -1.31%, and closed at 29.31 on Friday, May 2, 2025. Weekly volume was 7% above average.

HRL is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HRL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 21, 2022 at 55.11 and reached 27.59 on February 27, 2025. HRL lost 27.52 points, or 49.94%, in 149 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (28.61). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See HRL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 27, 2025 at 27.59 and reached 32.07 on April 4, 2025. HRL gained -4.48 points, or -16.24%, in 5 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HRL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since March 28, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HRL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2025 at 32.07 and reached 28.78 on April 9, 2025. HRL lost 3.29 points, or 10.26%, in 5 days. The price is now at the 16.11% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HRL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 24, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (29.21) comes close to the price (29.31). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.05
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 76.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.48
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 26.54
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.02
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.95
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 68.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.55
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.02
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.50
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 30.94
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 30.56
20 Day Moving Average 30.04
50 Day Moving Average 29.81
Daily Stochastic Crossing 29.55
Price 29.31
Parabolic System 29.21
Lower Bollinger Band 28.96
Yearly Trendline Resistance 28.61
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 10
Industry Packaged Foods & Meats 64
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 32.07
High Date 04/04/2025
Low 28.78
Low Date 04/09/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 27.59
Low Date 02/27/2025
High 32.07
High Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 33.80
High Date 12/11/2024
Low 27.59
Low Date 02/27/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 36.86
High Date 05/20/2024
Low 27.59
Low Date 02/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 28.61
Support 18.35
High 55.11
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 27.59
Low Date 02/27/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.