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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL). During the week, the HRL dropped -1.12 points, or -5.38%, and closed at 19.71 on Friday, September 25, 2026. Weekly volume was -11% below average.

Long-term trend: [See HRL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on May 20, 2024 at 36.86 and reached 19.42 on September 25, 2026. HRL lost 17.44 points, or 47.31%, in 122 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See HRL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 26, 2026 at 26.60 and reached 19.42 on September 25, 2026. HRL lost 7.18 points, or 26.99%, in 13 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HRL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 28, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HRL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 28, 2026 at 26.43 and reached 19.42 on September 25, 2026. HRL lost 7.01 points, or 26.52%, in 59 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HRL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 16.73
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.28
Strong Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 12.82
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.90 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.79
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 5.92
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.45
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.08
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 23.19
Upper Bollinger Band 22.48
20 Day Moving Average 20.93
Parabolic System 20.65
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 19.78
Lower Bollinger Band 19.77
Price 19.71
Daily Stochastic Crossing 19.58
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 5
Industry Packaged Foods & Meats 38
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
High 26.43
High Date 07/28/2026
Low 19.42
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 26.60
High Date 06/26/2026
Low 19.42
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 26.22
High Date 02/26/2026
Low 19.42
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 36.86
High Date 05/20/2024
Low 19.42
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 55.11
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 19.42
Low Date 09/25/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.