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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/3/2025 -
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International Bus. Machines (IBM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 223.83
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was the negative week for the International Bus. Machines (IBM). During the week, the IBM gave back -0.10 points, or -0.04%, and closed at 222.70 on Friday, January 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -36% below average.

IBM is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See IBM long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 23, 2020 at 90.56 and reached 239.35 on December 9, 2024. IBM gained -148.79 points, or -164.30%, in 246 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (139.29) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See IBM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 26, 2021 at 114.56 and reached 239.35 on December 9, 2024. IBM gained -124.79 points, or -108.93%, in 158 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (223.83). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See IBM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since December 13, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See IBM short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 31, 2024 at 203.50 and reached 239.35 on December 9, 2024. IBM gained -35.85 points, or -17.62%, in 39 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See IBM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 13, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (224.58) comes close to the price (222.70). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.20
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 27.62
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.92
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.33
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.93
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 37.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 66.17
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 58.92
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.91
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 257.47
Upper Bollinger Band 234.23
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 226.78
20 Day Moving Average 226.42
Parabolic System 224.58
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 223.83
Price 222.70
50 Day Moving Average 220.42
Daily Stochastic Crossing 219.80
Lower Bollinger Band 213.37
Monthly Trendline Support 190.53
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 8
Industry IT Consulting & Other Services 59
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge
Low 203.50
Low Date 10/31/2024
High 239.35
High Date 12/09/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 162.62
Low Date 05/02/2024
High 239.35
High Date 12/09/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 257.47
Support 190.53
Low 120.55
Low Date 05/11/2023
High 239.35
High Date 12/09/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 223.83
Support 125.88
Low 114.56
Low Date 11/26/2021
High 239.35
High Date 12/09/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 153.71
Support 139.29
Low 90.56
Low Date 03/23/2020
High 239.35
High Date 12/09/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.