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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 10/3/2025 -
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IntercontinentalExchange Inc. (ICE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldTrend support at 159.48
Daily :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the IntercontinentalExchange Inc. (ICE). During the week, the ICE dropped -5.11 points, or -3.05%, and closed at 162.62 on Friday, October 3, 2025. On Friday ICE has reached 160.25 - the lowest level since April 25, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 15, 2025. Weekly volume was 9% above average.

ICE is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ICE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 88.60 and reached 189.35 on August 8, 2025. ICE gained -100.75 points, or -113.71%, in 147 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (159.48) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ICE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 8, 2025 at 189.35 and reached 160.25 on October 3, 2025. ICE lost 29.10 points, or 15.37%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 161.59 and resistance is at 168.69. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ICE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 15, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ICE short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 30, 2025 at 169.20 and reached 160.25 on October 3, 2025. ICE lost 8.95 points, or 5.29%, in 3 days. The price is now at the 26.48% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ICE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 11, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.95
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.26
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.11
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 21.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.20
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.79
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.50
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 194.44
Upper Bollinger Band 177.09
50 Day Moving Average 176.70
20 Day Moving Average 169.52
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 168.69
Parabolic System 165.30
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 162.67
Price 162.62
Daily Stochastic Crossing 161.76
Quarterly Trendline Support 161.59
Lower Bollinger Band 161.31
Yearly Trendline Support 159.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Financial Exchanges & Data 19
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 169.20
High Date 09/30/2025
Low 160.25
Low Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 169.20
High Date 09/30/2025
Low 160.25
Low Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 169.20
High Date 09/30/2025
Low 160.25
Low Date 10/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 168.69
Support 161.59
High 189.35
High Date 08/08/2025
Low 160.25
Low Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Support
Resistance 194.44
Support 159.48
Low 88.60
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 189.35
High Date 08/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.