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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/26/2025 -
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J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 320.14
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtRelative Strength Index is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM). During the week, the JPM climbed 1.28 points, or 0.41%, and closed at 316.06 on Friday, September 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -18% below average.

JPM is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See JPM long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 14.96 and reached 317.81 on September 26, 2025. JPM gained -302.85 points, or -2024.40%, in 864 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (107.53) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See JPM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 12, 2022 at 101.28 and reached 317.81 on September 26, 2025. JPM gained -216.53 points, or -213.79%, in 154 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (320.14). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See JPM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See JPM short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 291.44 and reached 317.81 on September 26, 2025. JPM gained -26.37 points, or -9.05%, in 18 days. The price is now at the 6.64% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See JPM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Relative Strength Index is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Relative Strength Index. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 10, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (312.98) comes close to the price (316.06). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 91.59
Strong Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.00
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.30
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.95
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.71 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.04
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.55
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.51
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 13.63
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 321.33
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 320.14
Price 316.06
Daily Stochastic Crossing 315.62
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 313.63
Parabolic System 312.98
Monthly Trendline Resistance 308.44
20 Day Moving Average 306.43
Monthly Trendline Support 301.60
50 Day Moving Average 298.82
Lower Bollinger Band 293.23
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Diversified Banks 112
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 291.44
Low Date 09/08/2025
High 317.81
High Date 09/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 284.24
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 317.81
High Date 09/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 308.44
Support 301.60
Low 202.20
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 317.81
High Date 09/26/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 320.14
Support 221.63
Low 101.28
Low Date 10/12/2022
High 317.81
High Date 09/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 235.53
Support 107.53
Low 14.96
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 317.81
High Date 09/26/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.