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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/25/2025 -
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Kellogg Co. (K) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend support lineLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the pricePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Kellogg Co. (K). During the week, the K climbed 0.25 points, or 0.30%, and closed at 82.62 on Friday, April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was 12% above average.

K is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See K long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 31, 2022 at 77.17 and reached 47.63 on October 12, 2023. K lost 29.54 points, or 38.28%, in 49 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (6.09) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. K may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See K medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 4, 2025 at 83.22 and reached 81.50 on April 9, 2025. K lost 1.72 points, or 2.07%, in 5 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (81.17) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. K may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See K weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 8, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See K short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 81.50 and reached 82.87 on April 23, 2025. K gained -1.37 points, or -1.68%, in 14 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (82.91) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See K daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 16, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (82.11) comes close to the price (82.62). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 1.4% on Friday. It is 76.53% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.31
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.35
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.49
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.04
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.03
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 50.34
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.59
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.38
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 83.01
Upper Bollinger Band 83.01
Weekly Trendline Support 82.91
Daily Stochastic Crossing 82.79
Price 82.62
50 Day Moving Average 82.41
20 Day Moving Average 82.37
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 82.34
Parabolic System 82.11
Monthly Trendline Resistance 82.00
Lower Bollinger Band 81.85
Monthly Trendline Support 81.17
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 11
Industry Packaged Foods & Meats 89
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 82.87
High Date 04/23/2025
Low 82.51
Low Date 04/25/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 83.01
Support 82.91
Low 81.50
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 82.87
High Date 04/23/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 82.00
Support 81.17
High 83.22
High Date 03/04/2025
Low 81.50
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 47.63
Low Date 10/12/2023
High 83.22
High Date 03/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 53.13
Support 6.09
High 77.17
High Date 10/31/2022
Low 47.63
Low Date 10/12/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.