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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/10/2025 -
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Lennar Corp. (LEN) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorOversold industryWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Lennar Corp. (LEN). During the week, the LEN dropped -6.30 points, or -4.64%, and closed at 129.60 on Friday, January 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 45% above average.

LEN is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. LEN is a member of Homebuilding Industry. Homebuilding is the third most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See LEN long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2008 at 3.42 and reached 193.80 on September 19, 2024. LEN gained -190.38 points, or -5566.67%, in 825 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 74.51 and resistance is at 143.27. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See LEN medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 17, 2022 at 62.55 and reached 193.80 on September 19, 2024. LEN gained -131.25 points, or -209.83%, in 117 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (138.95) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. LEN may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See LEN weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See LEN short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 20, 2024 at 139.90 and reached 129.40 on January 10, 2025. LEN lost 10.50 points, or 7.51%, in 21 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See LEN daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 107.82% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 12.44
Oversold Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 18.62
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 13.84
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -8.31
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.86
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.26
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 14.77
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.78
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 158.85
50 Day Moving Average 158.52
Yearly Trendline Resistance 143.27
20 Day Moving Average 140.99
Quarterly Trendline Support 138.95
Parabolic System 137.16
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 131.20
Daily Stochastic Crossing 130.71
Price 129.60
Lower Bollinger Band 125.51
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 10
Industry Homebuilding 3
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 139.90
High Date 12/20/2024
Low 129.40
Low Date 01/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 180.10
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 129.40
Low Date 01/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 193.80
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 129.40
Low Date 01/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 208.54
Support 138.95
Low 62.55
Low Date 06/17/2022
High 193.80
High Date 09/19/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 143.27
Support 74.51
Low 3.42
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 193.80
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.