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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 8/1/2025 -
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LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorOversold industryLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Relative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversoldThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the LKQ Corporation (LKQ). During the week, the LKQ dropped -2.53 points, or -7.86%, and closed at 29.64 on Friday, August 1, 2025. Weekly volume was 66% above average.

LKQ is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. LKQ is a member of Distributors Industry. Distributors is the most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See LKQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 3, 2022 at 60.43 and reached 29.02 on August 1, 2025. LKQ lost 31.41 points, or 51.98%, in 186 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See LKQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2025 at 44.82 and reached 29.02 on August 1, 2025. LKQ lost 15.80 points, or 35.25%, in 20 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 25.33 and resistance is at 40.22. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See LKQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since June 6, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See LKQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 23, 2025 at 38.91 and reached 29.02 on August 1, 2025. LKQ lost 9.89 points, or 25.42%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 6.27% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See LKQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (48.72%) is close to one year high (27.31%). It is 315.51% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 16.79
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 5.98
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 8.89
Strong Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.47
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.14
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.43
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.98
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.46
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 41.65
50 Day Moving Average 37.50
Parabolic System 36.15
20 Day Moving Average 35.53
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 31.06
Price 29.64
Daily Stochastic Crossing 29.36
Lower Bollinger Band 27.19
Quarterly Trendline Support 25.33
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry Distributors 1
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 38.91
High Date 07/23/2025
Low 29.02
Low Date 08/01/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 39.77
High Date 07/10/2025
Low 29.02
Low Date 08/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 42.67
High Date 05/16/2025
Low 29.02
Low Date 08/01/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 40.22
Support 25.33
High 44.82
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 29.02
Low Date 08/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 60.43
High Date 01/03/2022
Low 29.02
Low Date 08/01/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.