The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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Lowe's Cos. (LOW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold industryBroken trend resistance lineLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergencePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the Lowe's Cos. (LOW). During the week, the LOW dropped -3.21 points, or -1.67%, and closed at 189.28 on Friday, September 25, 2026. Weekly volume was 18% above average.

LOW is a member of Home Improvement Retail Industry. Home Improvement Retail is the tenth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See LOW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 12, 2026 at 293.06 and reached 187.15 on September 25, 2026. LOW lost 105.91 points, or 36.14%, in 32 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (183.56) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See LOW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 19, 2026 at 225.79 and reached 187.15 on September 25, 2026. LOW lost 38.64 points, or 17.11%, in 5 weeks. The price is now at the 5.51% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See LOW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 28, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See LOW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 22, 2026 at 196.75 and reached 187.15 on September 25, 2026. LOW lost 9.60 points, or 4.88%, in 3 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See LOW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 21, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 24.96
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 28.30
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.63
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.03 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.04
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 15.66
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.65
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -8.98 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 208.01
50 Day Moving Average 207.08
20 Day Moving Average 197.08
Parabolic System 196.55
Daily Stochastic Crossing 190.81
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 190.26
Price 189.28
Yearly Trendline Resistance 188.77
Lower Bollinger Band 187.22
Yearly Trendline Support 183.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 4
Industry Home Improvement Retail 10
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 196.75
High Date 09/22/2026
Low 187.15
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 196.75
High Date 09/22/2026
Low 187.15
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 196.75
High Date 09/22/2026
Low 187.15
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 225.79
High Date 08/19/2026
Low 187.15
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 188.77
Support 183.56
High 293.06
High Date 02/12/2026
Low 187.15
Low Date 09/25/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.