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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/4/2025 -
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Macy's Inc. (M) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :The price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldBullish Meeting Lines Candlestick
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It was the negative week for the Macy's Inc. (M). During the week, the M dropped -1.43 points, or -11.16%, and closed at 11.38 on Friday, April 4, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since January 17, 2025. Weekly volume was 66% above average.

M is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See M long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 19, 2024 at 22.10 and reached 10.77 on April 4, 2025. M lost 11.33 points, or 51.27%, in 54 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 7.92 and resistance is at 16.75. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See M medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 26, 2024 at 18.13 and reached 10.77 on April 4, 2025. M lost 7.36 points, or 40.60%, in 14 weeks. The price is now at the 8.29% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See M weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See M short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2025 at 14.43 and reached 10.77 on April 4, 2025. M lost 3.66 points, or 25.36%, in 25 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See M daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 27, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See M candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Meeting Lines Candlestick pattern. This pattern appears during a decline, and it is a sign that a potential bullish reversal is in play. The reliability of the Bullish Meeting Lines Candlestick pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Meeting Lines Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.86
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 22.49
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.73
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.43
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.50
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.25
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.43
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.60
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 14.55
50 Day Moving Average 14.14
Parabolic System 13.21
20 Day Moving Average 13.21
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 11.85
Lower Bollinger Band 11.67
Daily Stochastic Crossing 11.54
Price 11.38
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 2
Industry Department Stores 51
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
High 14.43
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 10.77
Low Date 04/04/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 15.94
High Date 01/31/2025
Low 10.77
Low Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 18.13
High Date 12/26/2024
Low 10.77
Low Date 04/04/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 16.75
Support 7.92
High 22.10
High Date 03/19/2024
Low 10.77
Low Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 37.95
High Date 11/18/2021
Low 10.54
Low Date 10/13/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.