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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 8/1/2025 -
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Marsh & McLennan (MMC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorOversold industryBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the Marsh & McLennan (MMC). During the week, the MMC dropped -12.62 points, or -6.00%, and closed at 197.78 on Friday, August 1, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since June 13, 2025. Weekly volume was 72% above average.

MMC is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. MMC is a member of Insurance Brokers Industry. Insurance Brokers is the ninth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MMC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 5, 2009 at 17.18 and reached 248.00 on April 4, 2025. MMC gained -230.82 points, or -1343.54%, in 839 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (106.59) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MMC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 17, 2022 at 143.33 and reached 248.00 on April 4, 2025. MMC gained -104.67 points, or -73.03%, in 146 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 178.92 and resistance is at 257.81. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MMC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 17, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MMC short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 3, 2025 at 235.78 and reached 196.27 on August 1, 2025. MMC lost 39.51 points, or 16.76%, in 59 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (207.49) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MMC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 18.63
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 81.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.81
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 14.63
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.59
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 31.47
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.00
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.73
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.07
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 218.39
50 Day Moving Average 217.33
Weekly Trendline Resistance 209.23
20 Day Moving Average 209.11
Weekly Trendline Support 207.49
Parabolic System 204.30
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 198.73
Lower Bollinger Band 198.53
Price 197.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 197.54
Quarterly Trendline Support 178.92
Yearly Trendline Resistance 161.94
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 9
Industry Insurance Brokers 9
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 220.32
High Date 06/24/2025
Low 196.27
Low Date 08/01/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 209.23
Support 207.49
High 235.78
High Date 06/03/2025
Low 196.27
Low Date 08/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 248.00
High Date 04/04/2025
Low 196.27
Low Date 08/01/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 257.81
Support 178.92
Low 143.33
Low Date 06/17/2022
High 248.00
High Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 161.94
Support 106.59
Low 17.18
Low Date 03/05/2009
High 248.00
High Date 04/04/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.