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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/3/2025 -
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Altria Group, Inc. (MO) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
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It was a first positive week after 4 consecutive negative weeks for the Altria Group, Inc. (MO). During the week, the MO gained 0.76 points, or 1.45%, and closed at 53.14 on Friday, January 3, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since November 29, 2024. Weekly volume was -41% below average.

Long-term trend: [See MO long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on June 20, 2017 at 77.79 and reached 30.95 on March 23, 2020. MO lost 46.84 points, or 60.21%, in 143 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (41.74) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MO medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 6, 2024 at 58.01 and reached 51.63 on December 30, 2024. MO lost 6.38 points, or 11.00%, in 3 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (50.90) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MO weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since December 20, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MO short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 30, 2024 at 51.63 and reached 53.18 on January 3, 2025. MO gained -1.55 points, or -3.00%, in 4 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MO daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 2, 2024.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 81.20
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 31.98
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 28.16
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.50
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.66
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 56.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 62.44
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.07
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.13
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 56.76
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 55.14
50 Day Moving Average 54.33
20 Day Moving Average 54.08
Price 53.14
Daily Stochastic Crossing 52.45
Parabolic System 51.64
Monthly Trendline Resistance 51.20
Monthly Trendline Support 50.90
Lower Bollinger Band 50.74
Yearly Trendline Resistance 45.49
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 5
Industry Tobacco 81
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 51.63
Low Date 12/30/2024
High 53.18
High Date 01/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 51.63
Low Date 12/30/2024
High 53.18
High Date 01/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 51.20
Support 50.90
High 58.01
High Date 12/06/2024
Low 51.63
Low Date 12/30/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 39.07
Low Date 10/26/2023
High 58.01
High Date 12/06/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 45.49
Support 41.74
High 77.79
High Date 06/20/2017
Low 30.95
Low Date 03/23/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.