The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 5/15/2026 -
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe price touches the upper Bollinger BandThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Morgan Stanley (MS). During the week, the MS gave back -0.58 points, or -0.30%, and closed at 192.51 on Friday, May 15, 2026. Weekly volume was -14% below average.

Long-term trend: [See MS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 6.71 and reached 197.50 on May 14, 2026. MS gained -190.79 points, or -2843.37%, in 917 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (39.02) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 12, 2026 at 152.80 and reached 197.50 on May 14, 2026. MS gained -44.70 points, or -29.25%, in 9 weeks. The price is now at the 11.16% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 17, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on May 14, 2026 at 197.50 and reached 191.11 on May 15, 2026. MS lost 6.39 points, or 3.24%, in 1 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 29, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 4.11% on Friday. It is 59.93% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.10
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 28.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 69.50
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.96
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.52
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.76
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.46
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 194.33
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 193.41
Upper Bollinger Band 192.92
Price 192.51
20 Day Moving Average 190.69
Parabolic System 188.12
Lower Bollinger Band 184.99
50 Day Moving Average 176.59
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 7
Industry Investment Banking & Brokerage 85
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 197.50
High Date 05/14/2026
Low 191.11
Low Date 05/15/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 197.50
High Date 05/14/2026
Low 191.11
Low Date 05/15/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 152.80
Low Date 03/12/2026
High 197.50
High Date 05/14/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 69.42
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 197.50
High Date 05/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 152.38
Support 39.02
Low 6.71
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 197.50
High Date 05/14/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.