The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/20/2025 -
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a first positive week for the Morgan Stanley (MS). During the week, the MS gained 3.22 points, or 2.49%, and closed at 132.71 on Friday, June 20, 2025. MS was trading at average weekly trading volume.

MS is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 6.71 and reached 142.00 on February 7, 2025. MS gained -135.29 points, or -2016.24%, in 852 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 37.36 and resistance is at 142.79. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 7, 2025 at 142.00 and reached 94.30 on April 7, 2025. MS lost 47.70 points, or 33.59%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (56.31) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. MS may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 94.30 and reached 133.57 on June 6, 2025. MS gained -39.27 points, or -41.64%, in 60 days. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (140.01) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 22, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 6.15% on Friday. It is 56.62% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.98
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.39
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.63
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 18.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.82
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.25
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.48
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 142.79
Weekly Trendline Support 140.01
Weekly Trendline Resistance 133.89
Upper Bollinger Band 133.64
Price 132.71
Daily Stochastic Crossing 131.86
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 131.44
Parabolic System 130.18
20 Day Moving Average 129.81
Lower Bollinger Band 125.49
50 Day Moving Average 122.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 10
Industry Investment Banking & Brokerage 111
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 133.57
High Date 06/06/2025
Low 128.81
Low Date 06/13/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 133.89
Support 140.01
Low 94.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 133.57
High Date 06/06/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 97.35
Support 56.31
High 142.00
High Date 02/07/2025
Low 94.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 69.42
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 142.00
High Date 02/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 142.79
Support 37.36
Low 6.71
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 142.00
High Date 02/07/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.