The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/10/2026 -
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold areaThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Morgan Stanley (MS). During the week, the MS gained 8.35 points, or 3.90%, and closed at 222.28 on Friday, July 10, 2026. Weekly volume was -28% below average.

MS is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 6.71 and reached 230.47 on June 18, 2026. MS gained -223.76 points, or -3334.72%, in 922 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (39.29) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 12, 2026 at 152.80 and reached 230.47 on June 18, 2026. MS gained -77.67 points, or -50.83%, in 14 weeks. The price is now at the 10.54% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 17, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 18, 2026 at 230.47 and reached 206.72 on July 1, 2026. MS lost 23.75 points, or 10.31%, in 13 days. The price is now at the 65.52% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since June 24, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 27.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.84
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 65.41
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.85
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.68
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.61
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.68
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 227.14
Price 222.28
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 221.56
Daily Stochastic Crossing 220.32
20 Day Moving Average 218.64
Parabolic System 210.10
50 Day Moving Average 207.01
Lower Bollinger Band 206.03
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 12
Industry Investment Banking & Brokerage 109
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 206.72
Low Date 07/01/2026
High 224.75
High Date 07/10/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 230.47
High Date 06/18/2026
Low 206.72
Low Date 07/01/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 152.80
Low Date 03/12/2026
High 230.47
High Date 06/18/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 69.42
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 230.47
High Date 06/18/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 153.95
Support 39.29
Low 6.71
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 230.47
High Date 06/18/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.