The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/9/2026 -
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the Morgan Stanley (MS). During the week, the MS gave back -0.29 points, or -0.15%, and closed at 190.02 on Friday, October 9, 2026. Weekly volume was -17% below average.

Long-term trend: [See MS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 6.71 and reached 232.25 on July 15, 2026. MS gained -225.54 points, or -3361.25%, in 926 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (39.76) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 15, 2026 at 232.25 and reached 182.47 on October 1, 2026. MS lost 49.78 points, or 21.43%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend support line (216.90) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 7, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2026 at 218.51 and reached 182.47 on October 1, 2026. MS lost 36.04 points, or 16.49%, in 23 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 11, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 82.70
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 48.51
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 28.87
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.63
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.57
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.40
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 18.09
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 22.99
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.09
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Support 216.90
Upper Bollinger Band 209.37
Monthly Trendline Resistance 209.10
50 Day Moving Average 207.33
20 Day Moving Average 195.99
Price 190.02
Daily Stochastic Crossing 187.84
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 187.08
Lower Bollinger Band 183.04
Parabolic System 182.93
Yearly Trendline Resistance 156.65
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 7
Industry Investment Banking & Brokerage 31
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
High 218.51
High Date 09/08/2026
Low 182.47
Low Date 10/01/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 222.00
High Date 08/13/2026
Low 182.47
Low Date 10/01/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 209.10
Support 216.90
High 232.25
High Date 07/15/2026
Low 182.47
Low Date 10/01/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 69.42
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 232.25
High Date 07/15/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 156.65
Support 39.76
Low 6.71
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 232.25
High Date 07/15/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.