The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 8/7/2026 -
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Morgan Stanley (MS). During the week, the MS gained 5.91 points, or 2.81%, and closed at 216.33 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Weekly volume was -11% below average.

MS is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 6.71 and reached 232.25 on July 15, 2026. MS gained -225.54 points, or -3361.25%, in 926 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (39.44) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 12, 2026 at 152.80 and reached 232.25 on July 15, 2026. MS gained -79.45 points, or -52.00%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (225.17) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 17, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 29, 2026 at 202.94 and reached 220.12 on August 5, 2026. MS gained -17.18 points, or -8.47%, in 7 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.95
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 63.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 73.10
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 55.30
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.40
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 24.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.18
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 63.66
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 12.19
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 234.03
Upper Bollinger Band 226.19
Monthly Trendline Support 225.17
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 218.81
Daily Stochastic Crossing 216.50
Price 216.33
50 Day Moving Average 215.86
20 Day Moving Average 215.65
Parabolic System 204.74
Lower Bollinger Band 203.46
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 12
Industry Investment Banking & Brokerage 101
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 202.94
Low Date 07/29/2026
High 220.12
High Date 08/05/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 232.25
High Date 07/15/2026
Low 202.94
Low Date 07/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 234.03
Support 225.17
Low 152.80
Low Date 03/12/2026
High 232.25
High Date 07/15/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 69.42
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 232.25
High Date 07/15/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 154.79
Support 39.44
Low 6.71
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 232.25
High Date 07/15/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.