The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/26/2025 -
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 182.60
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARBullish Doji Candlestick
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It was a first positive week for the Morgan Stanley (MS). During the week, the MS gained 4.89 points, or 2.76%, and closed at 181.87 on Friday, December 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -46% below average.

MS is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 6.71 and reached 182.34 on December 26, 2025. MS gained -175.63 points, or -2617.44%, in 898 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (38.32) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 30, 2023 at 69.42 and reached 182.34 on December 26, 2025. MS gained -112.92 points, or -162.66%, in 112 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (182.60). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 18, 2025 at 172.58 and reached 182.34 on December 26, 2025. MS gained -9.76 points, or -5.66%, in 8 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See MS candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.05
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.66
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.12
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.59 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.61
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.07
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.52
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.19
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 183.34
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 182.60
Price 181.87
Daily Stochastic Crossing 180.91
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 179.38
20 Day Moving Average 176.41
Parabolic System 173.36
50 Day Moving Average 168.36
Lower Bollinger Band 167.79
Yearly Trendline Resistance 148.33
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 12
Industry Investment Banking & Brokerage 99
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 172.58
Low Date 12/18/2025
High 182.34
High Date 12/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 155.23
Low Date 11/21/2025
High 182.34
High Date 12/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 94.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 182.34
High Date 12/26/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 182.60
Support 108.90
Low 69.42
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 182.34
High Date 12/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 148.33
Support 38.32
Low 6.71
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 182.34
High Date 12/26/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.