The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 1/16/2026 -
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Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the Microsoft Corp. (MSFT). During the week, the MSFT dropped -19.42 points, or -4.05%, and closed at 459.86 on Friday, January 16, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was 25% above average.

Long-term trend: [See MSFT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 344.80 and reached 555.45 on July 31, 2025. MSFT gained -210.65 points, or -61.09%, in 16 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (622.91) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. MSFT may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MSFT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 31, 2025 at 555.45 and reached 455.90 on January 15, 2026. MSFT lost 99.55 points, or 17.92%, in 24 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MSFT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 5, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MSFT short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 28, 2025 at 553.72 and reached 455.90 on January 15, 2026. MSFT lost 97.82 points, or 17.67%, in 79 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MSFT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.23
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 15.73
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.89
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.48
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.31
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 18.65
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 20.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.43
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 494.84
Parabolic System 485.03
50 Day Moving Average 484.83
20 Day Moving Average 478.23
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 463.62
Price 459.86
Daily Stochastic Crossing 459.33
Lower Bollinger Band 455.94
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 3
Industry Application Software 12
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 553.72
High Date 10/28/2025
Low 455.90
Low Date 01/15/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 555.45
High Date 07/31/2025
Low 455.90
Low Date 01/15/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 552.19
Support 622.91
Low 344.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 555.45
High Date 07/31/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 213.43
Low Date 11/04/2022
High 555.45
High Date 07/31/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 14.87
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 555.45
High Date 07/31/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.