The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 5/2/2025 -
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Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 430.65
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger BandThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Microsoft Corp. (MSFT). During the week, the MSFT gained 43.38 points, or 11.07%, and closed at 435.28 on Friday, May 2, 2025. Weekly volume was 52% above average.

Long-term trend: [See MSFT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on July 5, 2024 at 468.35 and reached 344.80 on April 7, 2025. MSFT lost 123.55 points, or 26.38%, in 39 weeks. The price is now at the 73.23% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See MSFT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 12, 2024 at 456.20 and reached 344.80 on April 7, 2025. MSFT lost 111.40 points, or 24.42%, in 16 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (430.65). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MSFT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 24, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MSFT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 344.80 and reached 439.44 on May 2, 2025. MSFT gained -94.64 points, or -27.45%, in 25 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MSFT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 102.04% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.65
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.03
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.85
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.95
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 42.67
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 57.98
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -8.59
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 435.28
Daily Stochastic Crossing 435.19
Upper Bollinger Band 431.85
Weekly Trendline Resistance 430.65
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 392.53
50 Day Moving Average 386.73
20 Day Moving Average 383.33
Parabolic System 372.90
Lower Bollinger Band 350.21
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 4
Industry Application Software 65
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 344.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 439.44
High Date 05/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 430.65
Support 323.99
High 456.20
High Date 12/12/2024
Low 344.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 468.35
High Date 07/05/2024
Low 344.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 213.43
Low Date 11/04/2022
High 468.35
High Date 07/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 14.87
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 468.35
High Date 07/05/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.