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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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NRG Energy (NRG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap CandlestickWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was the negative week for the NRG Energy (NRG). During the week, the NRG dropped -3.29 points, or -3.17%, and closed at 100.37 on Friday, September 25, 2026. Weekly volume was 11% above average.

NRG is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See NRG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 7, 2015 at 8.80 and reached 189.96 on February 25, 2026. NRG gained -181.16 points, or -2058.64%, in 533 weeks. The price is now at the 49.45% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See NRG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 25, 2026 at 189.96 and reached 97.50 on September 24, 2026. NRG lost 92.46 points, or 48.67%, in 30 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 90.84 and resistance is at 129.42. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NRG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 27, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NRG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2026 at 121.68 and reached 97.50 on September 24, 2026. NRG lost 24.18 points, or 19.87%, in 16 days. The price is now at the 11.87% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NRG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 15, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Candlestick pattern: [See NRG candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick pattern. This is a rare continuation formation that appears in a strongly downward moving market. The reliability of the Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.24
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.76
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 10.88
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.48
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 99.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.45
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.90
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -8.53 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 119.68
50 Day Moving Average 118.06
Parabolic System 109.48
20 Day Moving Average 108.48
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 100.91
Price 100.37
Daily Stochastic Crossing 98.80
Lower Bollinger Band 96.33
Quarterly Trendline Support 90.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 1
Industry Electric Utilities 12
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 121.68
High Date 09/08/2026
Low 97.50
Low Date 09/24/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 121.68
High Date 09/08/2026
Low 97.50
Low Date 09/24/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 150.97
High Date 06/29/2026
Low 97.50
Low Date 09/24/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 129.42
Support 90.84
High 189.96
High Date 02/25/2026
Low 97.50
Low Date 09/24/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 8.80
Low Date 12/07/2015
High 189.96
High Date 02/25/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.