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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/2/2026 -
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Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC). During the week, the NSC dropped -3.14 points, or -1.08%, and closed at 287.82 on Friday, January 2, 2026. Weekly volume was -44% below average.

NSC is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See NSC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 201.60 and reached 302.24 on October 3, 2025. NSC gained -100.64 points, or -49.92%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (307.10) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. NSC may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See NSC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 29, 2025 at 278.41 and reached 300.42 on December 16, 2025. NSC gained -22.01 points, or -7.91%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 283.03 and resistance is at 305.58. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NSC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 24, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NSC short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 16, 2025 at 300.42 and reached 287.01 on January 2, 2026. NSC lost 13.41 points, or 4.46%, in 17 days. The price is now at the 6.04% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NSC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 17, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 3.75% on Friday. It is 57.57% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.00
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.43
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 21.24
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.00
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.58
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 39.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 63.77
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 57.01
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.91
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Support 307.10
Monthly Trendline Resistance 305.58
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 303.18
Upper Bollinger Band 296.46
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 293.40
20 Day Moving Average 292.71
Parabolic System 292.58
50 Day Moving Average 287.91
Daily Stochastic Crossing 287.89
Price 287.82
Lower Bollinger Band 285.66
Monthly Trendline Support 283.03
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Railroads 90
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 293.83
High Date 12/24/2025
Low 287.01
Low Date 01/02/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 300.42
High Date 12/16/2025
Low 287.01
Low Date 01/02/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 305.58
Support 283.03
Low 278.41
Low Date 10/29/2025
High 300.42
High Date 12/16/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 303.18
Support 307.10
Low 201.60
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 183.09
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.