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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/14/2025 -
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Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe period of low volatility of the stock pricePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC). During the week, the NSC gave back -0.27 points, or -0.09%, and closed at 283.98 on Friday, November 14, 2025. Weekly volume was -13% below average.

NSC is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See NSC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 201.60 and reached 302.24 on October 3, 2025. NSC gained -100.64 points, or -49.92%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (289.18) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See NSC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 3, 2025 at 302.24 and reached 278.41 on October 29, 2025. NSC lost 23.83 points, or 7.88%, in 3 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NSC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 24, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NSC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 29, 2025 at 278.41 and reached 289.63 on November 12, 2025. NSC gained -11.22 points, or -4.03%, in 14 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 281.21 and resistance is at 291.61. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NSC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 4.54% on Friday. It is 56.14% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.06
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 65.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 66.29
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 51.87
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.12
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52.98
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 38.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 48.72
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.53
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.59
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 313.15
Weekly Trendline Resistance 291.61
Upper Bollinger Band 291.56
Parabolic System 289.92
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 289.19
Quarterly Trendline Support 289.18
50 Day Moving Average 286.80
Daily Stochastic Crossing 285.70
20 Day Moving Average 284.10
Price 283.98
Weekly Trendline Support 281.21
Lower Bollinger Band 278.66
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 8
Industry Railroads 80
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 289.63
High Date 11/12/2025
Low 282.64
Low Date 11/14/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 291.61
Support 281.21
Low 278.41
Low Date 10/29/2025
High 289.63
High Date 11/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Low 278.41
Low Date 10/29/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 313.15
Support 289.18
Low 201.60
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 183.09
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.