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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 3/27/2026 -
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Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was a first positive week after 4 consecutive negative weeks for the Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC). During the week, the NSC climbed 2.16 points, or 0.77%, and closed at 283.25 on Friday, March 27, 2026. Weekly volume was -16% below average.

Long-term trend: [See NSC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 201.60 and reached 319.94 on February 12, 2026. NSC gained -118.34 points, or -58.70%, in 44 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (295.98) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. NSC may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See NSC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 12, 2026 at 319.94 and reached 277.90 on March 20, 2026. NSC lost 42.04 points, or 13.14%, in 5 weeks. The price is now at the 12.73% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NSC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 13, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NSC short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 23, 2026 at 288.14 and reached 279.74 on March 26, 2026. NSC lost 8.40 points, or 2.92%, in 3 days. The price is now at the 41.79% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NSC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 24, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 109.54% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 24.72
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.30
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 21.62
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.27
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44.70
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 48.82
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 34.87
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.78
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 325.84
Upper Bollinger Band 317.30
50 Day Moving Average 299.42
Quarterly Trendline Support 295.98
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 294.49
20 Day Moving Average 294.44
Price 283.25
Daily Stochastic Crossing 282.14
Parabolic System 277.62
Lower Bollinger Band 266.47
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 7
Industry Railroads 78
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 288.14
High Date 03/23/2026
Low 279.74
Low Date 03/26/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 288.14
High Date 03/23/2026
Low 279.74
Low Date 03/26/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 319.94
High Date 02/12/2026
Low 277.90
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 325.84
Support 295.98
Low 201.60
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 319.94
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 183.09
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 319.94
High Date 02/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.