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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/9/2026 -
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Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support line
Daily :Broken trend resistance lineStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC). During the week, the NSC gave back -0.61 points, or -0.21%, and closed at 287.21 on Friday, January 9, 2026. Weekly volume was -38% below average.

NSC is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See NSC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 201.60 and reached 302.24 on October 3, 2025. NSC gained -100.64 points, or -49.92%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (309.90) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See NSC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 29, 2025 at 278.41 and reached 300.42 on December 16, 2025. NSC gained -22.01 points, or -7.91%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 283.55 and resistance is at 307.93. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NSC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 24, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NSC short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 16, 2025 at 300.42 and reached 283.31 on January 8, 2026. NSC lost 17.11 points, or 5.70%, in 23 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (282.82) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NSC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 17, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.54
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 57.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 38.91
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 40.89
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.01
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 34.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 60.78
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 58.36
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.63
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Support 309.90
Monthly Trendline Resistance 307.93
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 303.64
Upper Bollinger Band 296.67
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 292.16
20 Day Moving Average 291.41
50 Day Moving Average 288.41
Daily Stochastic Crossing 287.69
Price 287.21
Monthly Trendline Support 283.55
Lower Bollinger Band 283.10
Parabolic System 283.03
Weekly Trendline Resistance 282.85
Weekly Trendline Support 282.82
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Railroads 70
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 283.31
Low Date 01/08/2026
High 293.64
High Date 01/09/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 282.85
Support 282.82
High 300.42
High Date 12/16/2025
Low 283.31
Low Date 01/08/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 307.93
Support 283.55
Low 278.41
Low Date 10/29/2025
High 300.42
High Date 12/16/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 303.64
Support 309.90
Low 201.60
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 183.09
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.