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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 12/19/2025 -
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Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support line
Daily :Broken trend support lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC). During the week, the NSC dropped -5.57 points, or -1.88%, and closed at 291.41 on Friday, December 19, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since October 24, 2025. NSC was trading at average weekly trading volume.

NSC is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See NSC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 201.60 and reached 302.24 on October 3, 2025. NSC gained -100.64 points, or -49.92%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (302.62) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See NSC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 29, 2025 at 278.41 and reached 300.42 on December 16, 2025. NSC gained -22.01 points, or -7.91%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 282.22 and resistance is at 301.05. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NSC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 24, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NSC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 280.09 and reached 300.42 on December 16, 2025. NSC gained -20.33 points, or -7.26%, in 26 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (295.37) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NSC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52.62
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 48.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 44.91
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 49.54
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.23
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 32.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.47
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 56.42
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.24
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 321.88
Weekly Trendline Resistance 302.77
Quarterly Trendline Support 302.62
Monthly Trendline Resistance 301.05
Upper Bollinger Band 298.91
Parabolic System 298.53
Weekly Trendline Support 295.37
Daily Stochastic Crossing 292.79
20 Day Moving Average 292.23
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 292.10
Price 291.41
50 Day Moving Average 287.74
Lower Bollinger Band 284.65
Monthly Trendline Support 282.22
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 10
Industry Railroads 90
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 300.42
High Date 12/16/2025
Low 289.20
Low Date 12/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 302.77
Support 295.37
Low 280.09
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 300.42
High Date 12/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 301.05
Support 282.22
Low 278.41
Low Date 10/29/2025
High 300.42
High Date 12/16/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 321.88
Support 302.62
Low 201.60
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 183.09
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.