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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/30/2026 -
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Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a first positive week for the Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC). During the week, the NSC gained 3.83 points, or 1.33%, and closed at 291.24 on Friday, January 30, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since November 28, 2025. Weekly volume was -30% below average.

NSC is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See NSC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 201.60 and reached 302.24 on October 3, 2025. NSC gained -100.64 points, or -49.92%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (312.49) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See NSC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 16, 2025 at 300.42 and reached 277.80 on January 20, 2026. NSC lost 22.62 points, or 7.53%, in 5 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (271.50) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NSC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 24, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NSC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 20, 2026 at 277.80 and reached 293.51 on January 27, 2026. NSC gained -15.71 points, or -5.66%, in 7 days. The price is now at the 14.45% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NSC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 3.58% on Friday. It is 56.99% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.81
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 43.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 70.28
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 60.59
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.60
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 45.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 45.55
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 51.10
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.56
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Support 312.49
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 299.35
Upper Bollinger Band 293.92
Price 291.24
Daily Stochastic Crossing 289.88
50 Day Moving Average 289.74
20 Day Moving Average 288.08
Monthly Trendline Resistance 287.71
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 287.47
Lower Bollinger Band 283.50
Parabolic System 278.46
Monthly Trendline Support 271.50
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 10
Industry Railroads 62
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 284.00
Low Date 01/29/2026
High 291.69
High Date 01/30/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 277.80
Low Date 01/20/2026
High 293.51
High Date 01/27/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 287.71
Support 271.50
High 300.42
High Date 12/16/2025
Low 277.80
Low Date 01/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 299.35
Support 312.49
Low 201.60
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 183.09
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 302.24
High Date 10/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.