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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 2/13/2026 -
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Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtMACD bearish divergenceWeekly  MACD line has moved above its signal line
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC). During the week, the NSC gained 8.46 points, or 2.76%, and closed at 314.94 on Friday, February 13, 2026. Weekly volume was -19% below average.

NSC is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See NSC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 201.60 and reached 319.94 on February 12, 2026. NSC gained -118.34 points, or -58.70%, in 44 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (281.07) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See NSC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 20, 2026 at 277.80 and reached 319.94 on February 12, 2026. NSC gained -42.14 points, or -15.17%, in 3 weeks. The price is now at the 11.87% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NSC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NSC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 29, 2026 at 284.00 and reached 319.94 on February 12, 2026. NSC gained -35.94 points, or -12.65%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 13.91% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NSC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 28, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.62
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.35
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.70
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.47
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 61.48
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.82
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.28 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 324.67
Daily Stochastic Crossing 317.95
Price 314.94
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 306.04
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 305.92
Parabolic System 303.41
20 Day Moving Average 297.88
50 Day Moving Average 294.00
Quarterly Trendline Support 281.07
Lower Bollinger Band 278.44
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 9
Industry Railroads 88
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 284.00
Low Date 01/29/2026
High 319.94
High Date 02/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 284.00
Low Date 01/29/2026
High 319.94
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 277.80
Low Date 01/20/2026
High 319.94
High Date 02/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 306.04
Support 281.07
Low 201.60
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 319.94
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 183.09
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 319.94
High Date 02/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.