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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/25/2025 -
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Oracle Corp. (ORCL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorLane's Stochastic is oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineTrend support at 142.57Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Broken trend resistance lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Oracle Corp. (ORCL). During the week, the ORCL gained 9.87 points, or 7.67%, and closed at 138.49 on Friday, April 25, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since January 24, 2025. ORCL was trading at average weekly trading volume.

ORCL is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ORCL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on September 29, 2022 at 60.78 and reached 197.55 on December 9, 2024. ORCL gained -136.77 points, or -225.02%, in 114 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (142.57) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ORCL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 9, 2024 at 197.55 and reached 118.90 on April 7, 2025. ORCL lost 78.65 points, or 39.81%, in 17 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ORCL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since December 13, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ORCL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 22, 2025 at 192.00 and reached 118.90 on April 7, 2025. ORCL lost 73.10 points, or 38.07%, in 75 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (112.44) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ORCL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 22, 2025.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.09
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 35.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.91
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 61.03
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.97
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.79
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 76.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 18.16
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 28.87
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.84
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 149.18
Upper Bollinger Band 148.34
Quarterly Trendline Support 142.57
Price 138.49
Daily Stochastic Crossing 134.17
20 Day Moving Average 133.78
Weekly Trendline Resistance 128.94
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 126.89
Lower Bollinger Band 123.75
Parabolic System 120.71
Weekly Trendline Support 112.44
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 1
Industry Application Software 50
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 140.60
High Date 04/09/2025
Low 121.24
Low Date 04/21/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 128.94
Support 112.44
High 192.00
High Date 01/22/2025
Low 118.90
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 197.55
High Date 12/09/2024
Low 118.90
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Support
Resistance 215.01
Support 142.57
Low 60.78
Low Date 09/29/2022
High 197.55
High Date 12/09/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 7.25
Low Date 06/04/2002
High 197.55
High Date 12/09/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.