The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/13/2024 -
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Oracle Corp. (ORCL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend support line
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Oracle Corp. (ORCL). During the week, the ORCL dropped -18.29 points, or -9.54%, and closed at 173.40 on Friday, December 13, 2024. Weekly volume was 49% above average.

Long-term trend: [See ORCL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 13, 2023 at 99.26 and reached 197.55 on December 9, 2024. ORCL gained -98.29 points, or -99.02%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (142.36) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ORCL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 7, 2024 at 125.75 and reached 197.55 on December 9, 2024. ORCL gained -71.80 points, or -57.10%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (188.22) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. ORCL may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ORCL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since September 6, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ORCL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 9, 2024 at 197.55 and reached 171.60 on December 13, 2024. ORCL lost 25.95 points, or 13.14%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 6.94% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ORCL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since November 26, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 29.77
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.59
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.86
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.53
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 73.04
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.56
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 13.67
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 199.35
Parabolic System 196.26
Upper Bollinger Band 194.55
Weekly Trendline Support 188.22
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 187.92
20 Day Moving Average 185.97
50 Day Moving Average 180.43
Daily Stochastic Crossing 177.27
Price 173.40
Lower Bollinger Band 172.66
Monthly Trendline Resistance 165.55
Monthly Trendline Support 142.36
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 7
Industry Application Software 83
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 197.55
High Date 12/09/2024
Low 171.60
Low Date 12/13/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 199.35
Support 188.22
Low 125.75
Low Date 08/07/2024
High 197.55
High Date 12/09/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 165.55
Support 142.36
Low 99.26
Low Date 12/13/2023
High 197.55
High Date 12/09/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 60.78
Low Date 09/29/2022
High 197.55
High Date 12/09/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 7.25
Low Date 06/04/2002
High 197.55
High Date 12/09/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.