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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/13/2024 -
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O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 1276.04
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY). During the week, the ORLY gained 13.22 points, or 1.05%, and closed at 1271.00 on Friday, December 13, 2024. Weekly volume was -49% below average.

ORLY is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ORLY long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 23, 2020 at 251.52 and reached 1282.00 on December 13, 2024. ORLY gained -1030.48 points, or -409.70%, in 246 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (1099.56) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ORLY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 29, 2024 at 947.49 and reached 1282.00 on December 13, 2024. ORLY gained -334.51 points, or -35.30%, in 28 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (1276.04). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ORLY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 26, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ORLY short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 1, 2024 at 1143.00 and reached 1282.00 on December 13, 2024. ORLY gained -139.00 points, or -12.16%, in 42 days. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (1244.92) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ORLY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 22, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.25
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.74
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.37
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 15.57 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.60
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.78
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.15
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 41.08
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 1286.73
Monthly Trendline Resistance 1276.04
Daily Stochastic Crossing 1271.49
Price 1271.00
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 1261.34
Weekly Trendline Resistance 1255.73
Weekly Trendline Support 1244.92
Parabolic System 1244.30
20 Day Moving Average 1238.42
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 1236.46
50 Day Moving Average 1211.23
Lower Bollinger Band 1196.26
Monthly Trendline Support 1191.55
Quarterly Trendline Support 1099.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry Specialty Stores 86
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 1181.00
Low Date 11/20/2024
High 1282.00
High Date 12/13/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 1255.73
Support 1244.92
Low 1143.00
Low Date 11/01/2024
High 1282.00
High Date 12/13/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 1276.04
Support 1191.55
Low 947.49
Low Date 05/29/2024
High 1282.00
High Date 12/13/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 1236.46
Support 1099.56
Low 251.52
Low Date 03/23/2020
High 1282.00
High Date 12/13/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 169.43
Low Date 07/10/2017
High 1282.00
High Date 12/13/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.