The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 1/16/2026 -
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Paychex Inc. (PAYX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldTrend resistance at 112.39
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal linePrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement levelThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Paychex Inc. (PAYX). During the week, the PAYX dropped -2.59 points, or -2.28%, and closed at 111.18 on Friday, January 16, 2026. PAYX was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See PAYX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on August 9, 2007 at 47.14 and reached 107.80 on January 5, 2026. PAYX gained -60.66 points, or -128.68%, in 960 weeks. The price is now at the 5.57% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See PAYX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 6, 2025 at 161.24 and reached 107.80 on January 5, 2026. PAYX lost 53.44 points, or 33.14%, in 30 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (112.39). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PAYX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since June 20, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PAYX short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 9, 2026 at 115.07 and reached 108.91 on January 13, 2026. PAYX lost 6.16 points, or 5.35%, in 4 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PAYX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 65.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 41.09
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 39.05
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.66
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 31.49
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.48
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 26.82
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -7.53
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 115.89
Monthly Trendline Resistance 112.39
20 Day Moving Average 112.36
50 Day Moving Average 112.31
Price 111.18
Daily Stochastic Crossing 111.04
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 110.99
Parabolic System 109.65
Lower Bollinger Band 108.34
Monthly Trendline Support 98.75
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 3
Industry Data Processing & Outsourced Services 20
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 115.07
High Date 01/09/2026
Low 108.91
Low Date 01/13/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 107.80
Low Date 01/05/2026
High 115.07
High Date 01/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 112.39
Support 98.75
High 161.24
High Date 06/06/2025
Low 107.80
Low Date 01/05/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 47.14
Low Date 08/09/2007
High 107.80
High Date 01/05/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 47.14
High Date 08/09/2007
Low 20.31
Low Date 03/03/2009
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.