The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
Sign In Feb 20, 2026
Skip Navigation Links
Share
Number of records: 3
Symbol:  

• Symbol Lookup
• View Technical Chart
• Add to Watch List
• Candlestick Patterns - N/A
• Stock Technical Indicators
• Stock Trends Analysis
• Market Sector Rank
• Stock Trading Signals

Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 2/13/2026 -
Sign In to see current Signals.

Paychex Inc. (PAYX) Technical Analysis

Subscribe to TheGreedyTrader Weekly Alerts
Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorOversold industryLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldTrend support at 93.56
Daily :Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap CandlestickBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergenceThe period of high volatility of the stock price
Move cursor over the icon to see details.

It was the negative week for the Paychex Inc. (PAYX). During the week, the PAYX dropped -4.15 points, or -4.21%, and closed at 94.38 on Friday, February 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 95% above average.

PAYX is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the second most oversold sector. PAYX is a member of Data Processing & Outsourced Services Industry. Data Processing & Outsourced Services is the seventh most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PAYX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 3, 2009 at 20.31 and reached 161.24 on June 6, 2025. PAYX gained -140.93 points, or -693.89%, in 848 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 62.44 and resistance is at 170.76. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PAYX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 6, 2025 at 161.24 and reached 91.70 on February 12, 2026. PAYX lost 69.54 points, or 43.13%, in 35 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (93.56) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PAYX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since June 20, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PAYX short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 9, 2026 at 115.07 and reached 91.70 on February 12, 2026. PAYX lost 23.37 points, or 20.31%, in 34 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (87.89) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PAYX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since January 12, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 130.67% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See PAYX candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick pattern. This is a rare continuation formation that appears in a strongly downward moving market. The reliability of the Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 23.98
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 24.63
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.92
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.57 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.39
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.24
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -7.95
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 111.08
50 Day Moving Average 108.42
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 107.37
20 Day Moving Average 101.61
Parabolic System 99.04
Monthly Trendline Resistance 95.78
Price 94.38
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 94.07
Daily Stochastic Crossing 93.65
Quarterly Trendline Support 93.56
Weekly Trendline Resistance 93.32
Lower Bollinger Band 91.06
Monthly Trendline Support 90.62
Weekly Trendline Support 87.89
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 2
Industry Data Processing & Outsourced Services 7
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 100.60
High Date 02/05/2026
Low 91.70
Low Date 02/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 93.32
Support 87.89
High 115.07
High Date 01/09/2026
Low 91.70
Low Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 95.78
Support 90.62
High 117.83
High Date 12/17/2025
Low 91.70
Low Date 02/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Support
Resistance 107.37
Support 93.56
High 161.24
High Date 06/06/2025
Low 91.70
Low Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 170.76
Support 62.44
Low 20.31
Low Date 03/03/2009
High 161.24
High Date 06/06/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.