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- 8/29/2025 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR gave back -2.15 points, or -0.86%, and closed at 247.06 on Friday, August 29, 2025. Weekly volume was -9% below average.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 10, 2009 at 9.76 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -283.24 points, or -2902.05%, in 835 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (45.62) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2014 at 22.53 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -270.47 points, or -1200.49%, in 579 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (142.26) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 23, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 17, 2025 at 293.00 and reached 239.11 on July 28, 2025. PGR lost 53.89 points, or 18.39%, in 133 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 238.33 and resistance is at 284.06. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since July 21, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 4.57% on Friday. It is 52.29% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.21
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 55.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 20.95
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 39.64
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.97
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.09
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 85.00
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.71
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.52
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.86
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 284.06
Monthly Trendline Support 277.60
Parabolic System 253.36
Upper Bollinger Band 252.81
50 Day Moving Average 249.81
Price 247.06
20 Day Moving Average 246.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 245.97
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 244.04
Lower Bollinger Band 241.55
Weekly Trendline Support 238.33
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 12
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 41
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 289.96
High Date 06/03/2025
Low 239.11
Low Date 07/28/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 284.06
Support 238.33
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 239.11
Low Date 07/28/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 328.78
Support 277.60
Low 111.41
Low Date 07/14/2023
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 165.35
Support 142.26
Low 22.53
Low Date 02/04/2014
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 53.06
Support 45.62
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.