The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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S&P 500 Oversold Stocks

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- 7/11/2025 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversold
Daily :The price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR dropped -16.68 points, or -6.37%, and closed at 244.98 on Friday, July 11, 2025. On Friday PGR has reached 244.56 - the lowest level since January 31, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since April 4, 2025. Weekly volume was 47% above average.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 10, 2009 at 9.76 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -283.24 points, or -2902.05%, in 835 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (45.33) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2014 at 22.53 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -270.47 points, or -1200.49%, in 579 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (140.37) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 23, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 3, 2025 at 289.96 and reached 244.56 on July 11, 2025. PGR lost 45.40 points, or 15.66%, in 38 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 1, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.21
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.10
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.92
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.02
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.06
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.70
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 26.09
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.97
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.91
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 273.75
50 Day Moving Average 272.50
Monthly Trendline Support 266.71
20 Day Moving Average 260.45
Parabolic System 254.32
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 253.15
Lower Bollinger Band 246.65
Daily Stochastic Crossing 246.17
Price 244.98
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 25
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
High 289.96
High Date 06/03/2025
Low 244.56
Low Date 07/11/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 244.56
Low Date 07/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 317.89
Support 266.71
Low 111.41
Low Date 07/14/2023
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 163.47
Support 140.37
Low 22.53
Low Date 02/04/2014
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 52.77
Support 45.33
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.