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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the Pinnacle West Capital (PNW). During the week, the PNW dropped -2.47 points, or -2.62%, and closed at 91.74 on Friday, September 25, 2026. PNW was trading at average weekly trading volume.

PNW is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PNW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on February 8, 2024 at 65.20 and reached 111.16 on July 17, 2026. PNW gained -45.96 points, or -70.49%, in 127 weeks. The price is now at the 42.25% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See PNW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 17, 2026 at 111.16 and reached 90.27 on September 25, 2026. PNW lost 20.89 points, or 18.79%, in 10 weeks. The price is now at the 7.04% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PNW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 24, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PNW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 16, 2026 at 97.10 and reached 90.27 on September 25, 2026. PNW lost 6.83 points, or 7.03%, in 9 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PNW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 11, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 19.64
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.63
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 12.44
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.76
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 5.31
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 14.80
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.96
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 99.63
50 Day Moving Average 99.18
20 Day Moving Average 95.51
Parabolic System 93.22
Price 91.74
Daily Stochastic Crossing 90.90
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 90.87
Lower Bollinger Band 90.83
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 1
Industry Electric Utilities 12
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 97.10
High Date 09/16/2026
Low 90.27
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 97.10
High Date 09/16/2026
Low 90.27
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 111.16
High Date 07/17/2026
Low 90.27
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 65.20
Low Date 02/08/2024
High 111.16
High Date 07/17/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 59.03
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 111.16
High Date 07/17/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.