The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/13/2024 -
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Raymond James Financial (RJF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Raymond James Financial (RJF). During the week, the RJF dropped -2.90 points, or -1.77%, and closed at 160.50 on Friday, December 13, 2024. RJF was trading at average weekly trading volume.

RJF is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See RJF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 25, 2023 at 91.67 and reached 171.40 on November 29, 2024. RJF gained -79.73 points, or -86.98%, in 57 weeks. The price is now at the 13.67% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See RJF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 5, 2024 at 104.24 and reached 171.40 on November 29, 2024. RJF gained -67.16 points, or -64.43%, in 16 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 140.88 and resistance is at 179.40. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See RJF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since September 20, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See RJF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 29, 2024 at 171.40 and reached 159.00 on December 13, 2024. RJF lost 12.40 points, or 7.23%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 12.10% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See RJF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since November 19, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.13
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 81.40
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.18
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 22.95
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.18
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 83.40
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.00
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.04
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.16
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 179.40
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 167.81
Upper Bollinger Band 167.27
Parabolic System 165.83
20 Day Moving Average 164.24
Price 160.50
Daily Stochastic Crossing 160.08
Lower Bollinger Band 155.84
50 Day Moving Average 151.58
Quarterly Trendline Support 140.88
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Investment Banking & Brokerage 119
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 171.40
High Date 11/29/2024
Low 159.00
Low Date 12/13/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 171.40
High Date 11/29/2024
Low 159.00
Low Date 12/13/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 171.40
High Date 11/29/2024
Low 159.00
Low Date 12/13/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 179.40
Support 140.88
Low 104.24
Low Date 08/05/2024
High 171.40
High Date 11/29/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 91.67
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 171.40
High Date 11/29/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.