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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/16/2026 -
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Roper Industries (ROP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the Roper Industries (ROP). During the week, the ROP dropped -18.67 points, or -4.29%, and closed at 416.14 on Friday, January 16, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was 45% above average.

ROP is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ROP long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 5, 2025 at 595.20 and reached 407.03 on January 16, 2026. ROP lost 188.17 points, or 31.61%, in 45 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See ROP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 19, 2025 at 584.03 and reached 407.03 on January 16, 2026. ROP lost 177.00 points, or 30.31%, in 34 weeks. The price is now at the 5.15% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ROP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ROP short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 18, 2025 at 454.81 and reached 407.03 on January 16, 2026. ROP lost 47.78 points, or 10.51%, in 29 days. The price is now at the 19.07% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ROP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 16.02
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 88.70
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.50
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 14.93
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.13
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 11.11
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.70
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.84
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.77
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -25.77 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 457.63
50 Day Moving Average 442.62
20 Day Moving Average 438.26
Parabolic System 431.08
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 417.34
Price 416.14
Daily Stochastic Crossing 412.72
Lower Bollinger Band 411.72
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Industrial Conglomerates 49
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 454.81
High Date 12/18/2025
Low 407.03
Low Date 01/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 454.81
High Date 12/18/2025
Low 407.03
Low Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 455.80
High Date 11/12/2025
Low 407.03
Low Date 01/16/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 584.03
High Date 05/19/2025
Low 407.03
Low Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 595.20
High Date 03/05/2025
Low 407.03
Low Date 01/16/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.