The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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Constellation Brands (STZ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold industryBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Constellation Brands (STZ). During the week, the STZ dropped -5.34 points, or -4.49%, and closed at 113.63 on Friday, September 25, 2026. Weekly volume was -21% below average.

STZ is a member of Distillers & Vintners Industry. Distillers & Vintners is the eighth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See STZ long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 11, 2024 at 274.87 and reached 113.34 on September 25, 2026. STZ lost 161.53 points, or 58.77%, in 128 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See STZ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 13, 2026 at 168.60 and reached 113.34 on September 25, 2026. STZ lost 55.26 points, or 32.78%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (120.12) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See STZ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 8, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See STZ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 24, 2026 at 138.90 and reached 113.34 on September 25, 2026. STZ lost 25.56 points, or 18.40%, in 32 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See STZ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 27, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 21.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.70
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.57
Strong Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 10.71
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.50 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 25.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.23
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.26
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.31
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 133.05
50 Day Moving Average 128.92
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 128.47
20 Day Moving Average 123.04
Quarterly Trendline Support 120.12
Parabolic System 118.74
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 115.81
Daily Stochastic Crossing 113.94
Price 113.63
Lower Bollinger Band 111.79
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 5
Industry Distillers & Vintners 8
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 125.76
High Date 09/10/2026
Low 113.34
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 138.90
High Date 08/24/2026
Low 113.34
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 139.26
High Date 08/14/2026
Low 113.34
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 128.47
Support 120.12
High 168.60
High Date 04/13/2026
Low 113.34
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 274.87
High Date 04/11/2024
Low 113.34
Low Date 09/25/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.