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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/28/2025 -
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Constellation Brands (STZ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldWeekly  MACD line has moved above its signal line
Daily :Broken trend resistance linePrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a third positive week after 5 consecutive negative weeks for the Constellation Brands (STZ). During the week, the STZ gained 2.72 points, or 2.04%, and closed at 136.38 on Friday, November 28, 2025. Weekly volume was -15% below average.

Long-term trend: [See STZ long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 11, 2024 at 274.87 and reached 126.45 on November 10, 2025. STZ lost 148.42 points, or 54.00%, in 82 weeks. The price is now at the 6.69% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See STZ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 23, 2025 at 178.14 and reached 126.45 on November 10, 2025. STZ lost 51.69 points, or 29.02%, in 15 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (124.63) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See STZ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See STZ short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 10, 2025 at 126.45 and reached 137.15 on November 28, 2025. STZ gained -10.70 points, or -8.46%, in 18 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (127.96) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See STZ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 12, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 6.34% on Friday. It is 54.57% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 75.39
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.93
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.62
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 27.07
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 83.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.65
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 26.25
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -13.08
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 137.00
Price 136.38
50 Day Moving Average 134.97
Daily Stochastic Crossing 134.80
Weekly Trendline Resistance 134.20
Parabolic System 130.98
20 Day Moving Average 130.88
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 130.56
Lower Bollinger Band 128.34
Weekly Trendline Support 127.96
Monthly Trendline Resistance 126.28
Monthly Trendline Support 124.63
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 3
Industry Distillers & Vintners 14
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 127.85
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 137.15
High Date 11/28/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 134.20
Support 127.96
Low 126.45
Low Date 11/10/2025
High 137.15
High Date 11/28/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 126.28
Support 124.63
High 178.14
High Date 07/23/2025
Low 126.45
Low Date 11/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 196.91
High Date 05/16/2025
Low 126.45
Low Date 11/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 274.87
High Date 04/11/2024
Low 126.45
Low Date 11/10/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.