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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 2/14/2025 -
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Constellation Brands (STZ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorOversold industryBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversoldThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Constellation Brands (STZ). During the week, the STZ dropped -6.10 points, or -3.61%, and closed at 162.90 on Friday, February 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 99% above average.

STZ is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most oversold sector. STZ is a member of Distillers & Vintners Industry. Distillers & Vintners is the most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See STZ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 14, 2008 at 10.66 and reached 274.87 on April 11, 2024. STZ gained -264.21 points, or -2478.52%, in 803 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 130.25 and resistance is at 282.04. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See STZ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 11, 2024 at 274.87 and reached 160.50 on February 12, 2025. STZ lost 114.37 points, or 41.61%, in 43 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend support line (213.97) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See STZ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 4, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See STZ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 27, 2025 at 189.00 and reached 160.50 on February 12, 2025. STZ lost 28.50 points, or 15.08%, in 16 days. The price is now at the 8.42% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See STZ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since February 13, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 117.86% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 13.24
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.00
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.72
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 12.33
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -11.38
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 10.76
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.35
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 13.20
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -10.94
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 203.49
Upper Bollinger Band 193.61
20 Day Moving Average 175.21
Parabolic System 170.23
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 165.73
Price 162.90
Daily Stochastic Crossing 162.19
Lower Bollinger Band 160.09
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 1
Industry Distillers & Vintners 1
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 189.00
High Date 01/27/2025
Low 160.50
Low Date 02/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 244.88
High Date 12/09/2024
Low 160.50
Low Date 02/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 261.06
High Date 09/30/2024
Low 160.50
Low Date 02/12/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 241.88
Support 213.97
High 274.87
High Date 04/11/2024
Low 160.50
Low Date 02/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 282.04
Support 130.25
Low 10.66
Low Date 11/14/2008
High 274.87
High Date 04/11/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.