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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 7/10/2026 -
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iShares Lehman TIPS Bond (TIP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the iShares Lehman TIPS Bond (TIP). During the week, the TIP gave back -0.20 points, or -0.18%, and closed at 108.13 on Friday, July 10, 2026. Weekly volume was -52% below average.

Long-term trend: [See TIP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 6, 2023 at 101.74 and reached 112.26 on September 17, 2025. TIP gained -10.52 points, or -10.34%, in 101 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (110.41) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. TIP may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See TIP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 27, 2026 at 111.88 and reached 107.98 on July 10, 2026. TIP lost 3.90 points, or 3.49%, in 10 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TIP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 15, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TIP short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 16, 2026 at 109.87 and reached 107.98 on July 10, 2026. TIP lost 1.89 points, or 1.72%, in 24 days. The price is now at the 7.94% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TIP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since June 30, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 34.48
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.10
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.92
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.44
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.11
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.70
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.11
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 113.24
Yearly Trendline Support 110.41
Upper Bollinger Band 110.24
50 Day Moving Average 109.96
Parabolic System 109.37
20 Day Moving Average 109.01
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 108.37
Price 108.13
Daily Stochastic Crossing 108.08
Lower Bollinger Band 107.65
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 109.87
High Date 06/16/2026
Low 107.98
Low Date 07/10/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 111.88
High Date 04/27/2026
Low 107.98
Low Date 07/10/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 111.98
High Date 02/27/2026
Low 107.98
Low Date 07/10/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 112.26
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 107.98
Low Date 07/10/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 113.24
Support 110.41
Low 101.74
Low Date 10/06/2023
High 112.26
High Date 09/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.