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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 3/20/2026 -
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T. Rowe Price Group (TROW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the T. Rowe Price Group (TROW). During the week, the TROW dropped -2.40 points, or -2.71%, and closed at 86.19 on Friday, March 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 111% above average.

TROW is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See TROW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on December 6, 2024 at 125.81 and reached 77.85 on April 7, 2025. TROW lost 47.96 points, or 38.12%, in 17 weeks. The price is now at the 17.39% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See TROW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 9, 2026 at 109.46 and reached 85.22 on March 20, 2026. TROW lost 24.24 points, or 22.15%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 84.22 and resistance is at 90.55. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TROW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 30, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TROW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 22, 2026 at 108.17 and reached 85.22 on March 20, 2026. TROW lost 22.95 points, or 21.22%, in 57 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TROW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 5, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 16.14
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 85.20
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 15.32
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.42
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.71
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 19.18
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.97
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.00
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.22
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 97.19
Upper Bollinger Band 96.96
20 Day Moving Average 90.95
Weekly Trendline Resistance 90.55
Parabolic System 89.68
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 87.39
Price 86.19
Daily Stochastic Crossing 86.05
Lower Bollinger Band 84.44
Weekly Trendline Support 84.22
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 1
Industry Asset Management & Custody Banks 29
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 108.17
High Date 01/22/2026
Low 85.22
Low Date 03/20/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 90.55
Support 84.22
High 109.46
High Date 01/09/2026
Low 85.22
Low Date 03/20/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 118.22
High Date 09/04/2025
Low 85.22
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 125.81
High Date 12/06/2024
Low 77.85
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 224.56
High Date 08/30/2021
Low 77.85
Low Date 04/07/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.