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- 7/18/2025 -
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Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger BandThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a first positive week for the Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA). During the week, the ULTA gained 16.46 points, or 3.45%, and closed at 493.30 on Friday, July 18, 2025. Weekly volume was -48% below average.

Long-term trend: [See ULTA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 14, 2024 at 574.76 and reached 309.00 on March 13, 2025. ULTA lost 265.76 points, or 46.24%, in 52 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (303.54) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ULTA may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ULTA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 13, 2025 at 309.00 and reached 498.52 on July 8, 2025. ULTA gained -189.52 points, or -61.33%, in 16 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ULTA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 25, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ULTA short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 14, 2025 at 471.34 and reached 494.58 on July 18, 2025. ULTA gained -23.24 points, or -4.93%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 5.51% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ULTA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 7.63% on Friday. It is 51.45% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.66
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 50.10
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.27
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.71
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.49
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.73
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.92
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 13.94
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 493.30
Upper Bollinger Band 493.18
Daily Stochastic Crossing 483.58
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 481.66
Parabolic System 477.06
20 Day Moving Average 474.42
Lower Bollinger Band 455.52
50 Day Moving Average 451.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Specialty Stores 52
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 471.34
Low Date 07/14/2025
High 494.58
High Date 07/18/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 471.34
Low Date 07/14/2025
High 494.58
High Date 07/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 452.00
Low Date 06/12/2025
High 498.52
High Date 07/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
High 498.52
High Date 07/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 386.67
Support 303.54
High 574.76
High Date 03/14/2024
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.