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- 1/16/2026 -
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Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA). During the week, the ULTA gave back -2.70 points, or -0.41%, and closed at 663.48 on Friday, January 16, 2026. Weekly volume was -46% below average.

ULTA is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ULTA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 14, 2024 at 574.76 and reached 309.00 on March 13, 2025. ULTA lost 265.76 points, or 46.24%, in 52 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (295.62) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ULTA may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ULTA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 19, 2025 at 493.00 and reached 675.65 on January 9, 2026. ULTA gained -182.65 points, or -37.05%, in 7 weeks. The price is now at the 6.66% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ULTA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 5, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ULTA short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 8, 2025 at 575.48 and reached 675.65 on January 9, 2026. ULTA gained -100.17 points, or -17.41%, in 32 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 620.19 and resistance is at 698.27. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ULTA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.91
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.75
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.99
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 23.86
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.62
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.87
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 31.40
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 698.27
Upper Bollinger Band 688.06
Parabolic System 676.33
Daily Stochastic Crossing 669.88
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 664.05
Price 663.48
20 Day Moving Average 632.03
Weekly Trendline Support 620.19
50 Day Moving Average 579.88
Lower Bollinger Band 578.92
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry Specialty Stores 56
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 675.65
High Date 01/09/2026
Low 653.33
Low Date 01/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 698.27
Support 620.19
Low 575.48
Low Date 12/08/2025
High 675.65
High Date 01/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 493.00
Low Date 11/19/2025
High 675.65
High Date 01/09/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
High 675.65
High Date 01/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 316.13
Support 295.62
High 574.76
High Date 03/14/2024
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.