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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 4/25/2025 -
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United Parcel Service (UPS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal line20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a first positive week after 6 consecutive negative weeks for the United Parcel Service (UPS). During the week, the UPS gained 1.48 points, or 1.53%, and closed at 97.91 on Friday, April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was 9% above average.

Long-term trend: [See UPS long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 1, 2022 at 233.72 and reached 90.55 on April 9, 2025. UPS lost 143.17 points, or 61.26%, in 166 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (107.82) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See UPS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 24, 2024 at 145.01 and reached 90.55 on April 9, 2025. UPS lost 54.46 points, or 37.56%, in 23 weeks. The price is now at the 13.51% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See UPS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See UPS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 90.55 and reached 100.94 on April 14, 2025. UPS gained -10.39 points, or -11.47%, in 5 days. The price is now at the 29.16% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See UPS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.34
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 63.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.41
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.62
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.62
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 83.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.27
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 21.08
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.99
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 111.56
50 Day Moving Average 109.79
Yearly Trendline Support 107.82
20 Day Moving Average 99.53
Price 97.91
Daily Stochastic Crossing 97.33
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 95.09
Parabolic System 92.90
Lower Bollinger Band 89.87
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 6
Industry Air Freight & Logistics 19
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 90.55
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 100.94
High Date 04/14/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 123.70
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 90.55
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 145.01
High Date 10/24/2024
Low 90.55
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 197.80
High Date 04/20/2023
Low 90.55
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 132.76
Support 107.82
High 233.72
High Date 02/01/2022
Low 90.55
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.