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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 3/20/2026 -
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VIVENDI-ADR (V) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldBroken trend support lineTrend support at 304.61
Daily :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was the negative week for the VIVENDI-ADR (V). During the week, the V dropped -5.52 points, or -1.80%, and closed at 301.62 on Friday, March 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 24% above average.

Long-term trend: [See V long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on June 28, 2023 at 226.02 and reached 375.51 on June 11, 2025. V gained -149.49 points, or -66.14%, in 102 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (318.26) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. V may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See V medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 11, 2025 at 375.51 and reached 297.03 on March 19, 2026. V lost 78.48 points, or 20.90%, in 40 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (304.61) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See V weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 16, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See V short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 4, 2026 at 325.77 and reached 297.03 on March 19, 2026. V lost 28.74 points, or 8.82%, in 15 days. The price is now at the 15.97% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See V daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 11, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.44
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.82
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.02
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.82
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.98
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 16.50
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.44
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.32
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 356.73
Upper Bollinger Band 325.61
50 Day Moving Average 321.70
Parabolic System 318.68
Yearly Trendline Support 318.26
Monthly Trendline Resistance 316.79
20 Day Moving Average 311.72
Quarterly Trendline Support 304.61
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 304.08
Price 301.62
Daily Stochastic Crossing 299.44
Lower Bollinger Band 297.60
Monthly Trendline Support 289.22
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 3
Industry Data Processing & Outsourced Services 13
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 312.69
High Date 03/17/2026
Low 297.03
Low Date 03/19/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 325.77
High Date 03/04/2026
Low 297.03
Low Date 03/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 316.79
Support 289.22
High 358.62
High Date 01/06/2026
Low 297.03
Low Date 03/19/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Test Support
Resistance 356.73
Support 304.61
High 375.51
High Date 06/11/2025
Low 297.03
Low Date 03/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 429.11
Support 318.26
Low 226.02
Low Date 06/28/2023
High 375.51
High Date 06/11/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.