The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 8/14/2026 -
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Valero Energy (VLO) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week for the Valero Energy (VLO). During the week, the VLO gained 43.36 points, or 14.54%, and closed at 341.67 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Weekly volume was -19% below average.

VLO is a member of Energy Sector. Energy is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See VLO long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 31.00 and reached 346.09 on August 14, 2026. VLO gained -315.09 points, or -1016.42%, in 334 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (118.11) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VLO medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 99.00 and reached 346.09 on August 14, 2026. VLO gained -247.09 points, or -249.59%, in 70 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (213.78) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VLO weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 2, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VLO short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 7, 2026 at 291.46 and reached 346.09 on August 14, 2026. VLO gained -54.63 points, or -18.74%, in 7 days. The price is now at the 8.09% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VLO daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 96.66
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.57
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.80 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.07
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.49
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.07
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 23.49
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 344.33
Price 341.67
Upper Bollinger Band 336.62
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 332.35
20 Day Moving Average 312.51
Parabolic System 303.45
Lower Bollinger Band 286.11
50 Day Moving Average 284.12
Yearly Trendline Resistance 275.61
Monthly Trendline Resistance 273.59
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Energy 9
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing 121
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 291.46
Low Date 08/07/2026
High 346.09
High Date 08/14/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 232.72
Low Date 06/18/2026
High 346.09
High Date 08/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 273.59
Support 258.86
Low 159.90
Low Date 12/17/2025
High 346.09
High Date 08/14/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 246.63
Support 213.78
Low 99.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 346.09
High Date 08/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 275.61
Support 118.11
Low 31.00
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 346.09
High Date 08/14/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.