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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/26/2025 -
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Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineLane's Stochastic bullish divergenceBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the pricePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was a first positive week for the Verisk Analytics (VRSK). During the week, the VRSK gained 3.60 points, or 1.48%, and closed at 247.07 on Friday, September 26, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since June 6, 2025. Weekly volume was 57% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VRSK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on June 16, 2022 at 156.05 and reached 322.92 on June 5, 2025. VRSK gained -166.87 points, or -106.93%, in 155 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (296.61) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. VRSK may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VRSK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 5, 2025 at 322.92 and reached 239.83 on September 22, 2025. VRSK lost 83.09 points, or 25.73%, in 15 weeks. The price is now at the 8.71% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VRSK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VRSK short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 9, 2025 at 273.83 and reached 239.83 on September 22, 2025. VRSK lost 34.00 points, or 12.42%, in 13 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VRSK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 12, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (249.31) comes close to the price (247.07). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 130.69% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 87.40
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.17
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.40
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -7.04
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 17.48
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 11.51
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.94
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.66
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 276.94
50 Day Moving Average 268.41
20 Day Moving Average 257.04
Parabolic System 249.31
Price 247.07
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 244.17
Daily Stochastic Crossing 242.93
Lower Bollinger Band 232.65
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 6
Industry Research & Consulting Services 17
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 239.83
Low Date 09/22/2025
High 248.82
High Date 09/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 273.83
High Date 09/09/2025
Low 239.83
Low Date 09/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 276.19
High Date 08/20/2025
Low 239.83
Low Date 09/22/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 322.92
High Date 06/05/2025
Low 239.83
Low Date 09/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 337.46
Support 296.61
Low 156.05
Low Date 06/16/2022
High 322.92
High Date 06/05/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.