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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/25/2025 -
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Walgreens (WBA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Walgreens (WBA). During the week, the WBA gained 0.12 points, or 1.10%, and closed at 11.01 on Friday, April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was -60% below average.

WBA is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See WBA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 21, 2022 at 47.28 and reached 8.08 on November 21, 2024. WBA lost 39.20 points, or 82.91%, in 135 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 3.41 and resistance is at 14.34. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See WBA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2024 at 8.08 and reached 13.25 on January 17, 2025. WBA gained -5.17 points, or -63.99%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (10.51) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See WBA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since September 27, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See WBA short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 10.02 and reached 11.08 on April 23, 2025. WBA gained -1.06 points, or -10.58%, in 16 days. The price is now at the 6.60% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See WBA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 6.54% on Friday. It is 72.56% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.71
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.64
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.95
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.01
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 45.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.46
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.26
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 11.29
Daily Stochastic Crossing 11.04
Price 11.01
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 10.92
50 Day Moving Average 10.92
20 Day Moving Average 10.92
Lower Bollinger Band 10.58
Quarterly Trendline Support 10.51
Parabolic System 10.13
Monthly Trendline Support 9.96
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 9.78
Monthly Trendline Resistance 9.65
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 11
Industry Drug Retail 102
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 10.79
Low Date 04/16/2025
High 11.08
High Date 04/23/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 10.02
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 11.08
High Date 04/23/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 9.65
Support 9.96
High 11.85
High Date 02/27/2025
Low 10.02
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 9.78
Support 10.51
Low 8.08
Low Date 11/21/2024
High 13.25
High Date 01/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 14.34
Support 3.41
High 47.28
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 8.08
Low Date 11/21/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.