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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Bearish Thrusting CandlestickWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was the negative week for the Xcel Energy Inc (XEL). During the week, the XEL dropped -2.50 points, or -3.46%, and closed at 69.80 on Friday, September 25, 2026. Weekly volume was 7% above average.

XEL is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See XEL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 26, 2026 at 84.23 and reached 68.72 on September 25, 2026. XEL lost 15.51 points, or 18.41%, in 30 weeks. The chart has formed a Rectangle chart pattern. The downtrend support line (76.13) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XEL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 25, 2026 at 82.88 and reached 68.72 on September 25, 2026. XEL lost 14.16 points, or 17.08%, in 13 weeks. The price is now at the 7.63% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XEL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 17, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XEL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 18, 2026 at 80.81 and reached 68.72 on September 25, 2026. XEL lost 12.09 points, or 14.96%, in 38 days. The price is now at the 8.93% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XEL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 20, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

Candlestick pattern: [See XEL candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Thrusting Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in a downtrend and it shows a rally failure in a down market. This is a weak continuation pattern. The reliability of the Bearish Thrusting pattern is low. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Thrusting Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 24.48
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.97
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 13.45
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.49
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.11
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.93
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.03
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 83.61
Upper Bollinger Band 78.15
50 Day Moving Average 76.70
Quarterly Trendline Support 76.13
20 Day Moving Average 73.94
Parabolic System 71.41
Price 69.80
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 69.75
Daily Stochastic Crossing 69.12
Lower Bollinger Band 69.01
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 1
Industry Electric Utilities 12
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 73.75
High Date 09/17/2026
Low 68.72
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 80.81
High Date 08/18/2026
Low 68.72
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 82.88
High Date 06/25/2026
Low 68.72
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Rectangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 83.61
Support 76.13
High 84.23
High Date 02/26/2026
Low 68.72
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 46.79
Low Date 03/06/2024
High 84.23
High Date 02/26/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.