The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Select Sector SPDR ETFs Technical Analysis - XLE

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- 7/17/2026 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE gained 2.60 points, or 4.72%, and closed at 57.68 on Friday, July 17, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since May 15, 2026. Weekly volume was -16% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 37.25 and reached 63.46 on March 30, 2026. XLE gained -26.21 points, or -70.36%, in 50 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 30, 2026 at 63.46 and reached 52.62 on July 1, 2026. XLE lost 10.84 points, or 17.08%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 52.45 and resistance is at 59.79. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 8, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 1, 2026 at 52.62 and reached 58.12 on July 17, 2026. XLE gained -5.50 points, or -10.45%, in 16 days. The price is now at the 8.00% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since July 6, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.48
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.20
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.89
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.33
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 50.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 23.66
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 41.65
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.21
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 59.79
Upper Bollinger Band 58.64
Daily Stochastic Crossing 57.75
Price 57.68
50 Day Moving Average 56.52
Parabolic System 54.94
20 Day Moving Average 54.73
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 54.58
Lower Bollinger Band 52.74
Monthly Trendline Support 52.45
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 52.62
Low Date 07/01/2026
High 58.12
High Date 07/17/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 52.62
Low Date 07/01/2026
High 58.12
High Date 07/17/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 59.79
Support 52.45
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Low 52.62
Low Date 07/01/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.44
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.