The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Select Sector SPDR ETFs Technical Analysis - XLE

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- 5/23/2025 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support linePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
Daily :Stochastic has declined below the signal lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE dropped -3.49 points, or -4.08%, and closed at 81.99 on Friday, May 23, 2025. Weekly volume was -20% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 22.88 and reached 98.97 on April 12, 2024. XLE gained -76.09 points, or -332.56%, in 212 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (113.57) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 26, 2025 at 94.82 and reached 74.49 on April 9, 2025. XLE lost 20.33 points, or 21.44%, in 2 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 4, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 74.49 and reached 86.45 on May 13, 2025. XLE gained -11.96 points, or -16.06%, in 34 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.24
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 78.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.02
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 36.98
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.13
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 38.20
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 67.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.29
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 38.80
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.45
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 86.67
Parabolic System 86.08
50 Day Moving Average 84.75
20 Day Moving Average 82.75
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 82.50
Price 81.99
Daily Stochastic Crossing 81.90
Lower Bollinger Band 79.42
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 86.45
High Date 05/13/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 94.82
High Date 03/26/2025
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 97.92
High Date 11/22/2024
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 98.97
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 102.34
Support 113.57
Low 22.88
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 98.97
High Date 04/12/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.